U.S. Department of State Daily Press Briefing #57, 98-05-08
From: The Department of State Foreign Affairs Network (DOSFAN) at <http://www.state.gov>
885
U.S. Department of State
Daily Press Briefing
I N D E X
Friday, May 8, 1998
Briefer: James B. Foley
ANNOUNCEMENTS
1 Background briefing here May 11 on US efforts to promote
religious freedom around the world
1 USG assisting flood victims in Italy
MIDDLE EAST PEACE PROCESS
1,9-10 Report of PM Netanyahu's unwillingness to come to
Washington on Monday
2,10-11 Briefer not in a position to confirm that report
2 Amb. Ross prepared to stay several days in order to find a
solution
2,3 Briefer not aware anyone focusing on a date other than
Monday
2-5 Details of Amb. Ross' schedule not yet available
3 No change in US position on settlement activity
4 Amb. Ross is looking at creative ways to make US ideas
acceptable to both sides
4 US ideas are part of an integrated package
10-11 If breakthrough not achieved, US will re-examine its
approach to entire process
PRESIDENTIAL AND SECRETARIAL TRAVEL
3 President Clinton and Secretary Albright leaving US on
Tuesday, May 12
CYPRUS
5 Amb. Holbrooke's comments described the de facto situation
in Cyprus
SIERRA LEONE
5-6 UK company provides security for US mine
6 State Department has been in touch with UK Embassy over
Sierra Leone
6 US received no information on arms shipments
NORTH KOREA
6 Statements by DPRK are unfortunate, not founded in reality
7 US is fulfilling its part of the agreed framework, and will
continue to do so
7 Financing for KEDO project detailed
8 US has responsibility for providing heavy fuel oil
8 US willing to consider a global solution for funding in
context of close congressional consultation
9 US has been assured that Japan and South Korea will meet
KEDO obligations
IRAN-LIBYA SANCTIONS ACT
11-12 A decision is close
CONTACT GROUP
12 May 9 is deadline for Milosevic to comply with CG
strictures
12-13 Investment ban would have chilling effect on Serbia
13 Investment ban would cover CG members, except for Russia
13 US will continue to urge Russia to persuade Milosevic to
act in interest of peace
INDONESIA
14 Situation quiet in Medan
14 Students demonstrations occurred in various places
14 US urges restraint on all sides
14 US provides no military assistance to Indonesia
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
OFF-CAMERA DAILY PRESS BRIEFING
DPB #57
FRIDAY, MAY 8, 1998, 1:10 P.M.
(ON THE RECORD UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED)
MR. FOLEY: Good afternoon. I want to let you know that on Monday at 2:30
p.m., we're going to have a background briefing by a senior State
Department official on US efforts to promote religious freedom around the
world. It will be held here in the State Department briefing room at 2:30
p.m.
Secondly, I have just a little bit of information about the assistance the
United States has offered and is supplying to Italy in the wake of the
tragic mudslides that you've seen and read about. A US Air Force aircraft
transported Italian civil defense workers from Northern Italy to Naples on
May 6, to assist with flood relief in that area. The US aircraft was
provided in response to a request for assistance from Italian civil and
military authorities.
Officials at the US Embassy in Rome and the US air base in Ramstein,
Germany, immediately supported this request and authorized the use of the
military aircraft that was temporarily deployed at Aviano Air Base in
Northern Italy. US forces based in Naples are providing material and
personnel to assist rescue efforts; namely, in the form of earth-moving
equipment, tents for rescue workers and refrigeration equipment for
perishable foods.
With that, I turn to Barry Schweid.
QUESTION: What are you hearing from Jerusalem about Mr. Netanyahu's
apparent unwillingness to come here? Are you hearing anything?
MR. FOLEY: Well, I can tell you, first of all, Barry, I have not been in
contact with Ambassador Ross, and I don't have a readout of how his initial
talks are going. So unfortunately, I won't be able to help you on that.
Indeed, I won't be in a position to speak in much detail about the subject,
because, clearly, our focus is on his mission now and on our continuing
hopes that it will be possible to find a way to reach an agreement that
will permit a meeting in Washington on Monday to launch permanent
status negotiations.
In terms of the Prime Minister's ability to be here on Monday, this
question, Barry, was asked yesterday, because we'd seen coming out of
Israel some comments casting doubt on that. But we view the fact that the
Prime Minister had requested Ambassador Ross to travel to Israel as
indicative of a willingness on his part, as well, to go the extra mile to
see whether it would be possible to close the gaps and to be able to be
here next week on Monday for the summit meeting in Washington.
QUESTION: You don't have word that Netanyahu is unable to come, under
your dictum?
MR. FOLEY: No.
QUESTION: No?
MR. FOLEY: What do you mean by --
QUESTION: Well, did he accept the terms?
MR. FOLEY: That is not a formula that I would accept.
QUESTION: Well, your kind invitation to come here on US terms, yes. And
apparently he's rejected it; is that correct?
MR. FOLEY: Not to my knowledge, no.
QUESTION: Oh, okay, because the reports I'm getting --
MR. FOLEY: He's invited Ambassador Ross to Israel in order to see whether
a way can be found on the basis of the American ideas to reach agreement.
QUESTION: No, I'm sorry, because just as the briefing was called, reports
are beginning to come from there that he has said, no thank you, under
those conditions.
MR. FOLEY: I'm not aware that Israel has closed the door on that
possibility. On the contrary, Ambassador Ross is prepared to stay there
several days. The Sabbath, obviously, is beginning there now, but he's
willing to stay there several days to see, as Spokesman Rubin said
yesterday in London, whether in these final days it will be possible to
reach agreement based on the US ideas.
QUESTION: Does that mean that if not Monday, perhaps another day could be
worked out?
MR. FOLEY: I'm not aware that anyone is talking about a different date
other than Monday. Obviously, the President and Secretary are traveling on
Tuesday to Germany to attend the summit in Berlin.
QUESTION: Do you know, is Ross meeting with Israeli officials now?
MR. FOLEY: I believe he had an opportunity to meet upon his arrival there
this morning. But as I said, I've not spoken to him or his party so I can't
confirm any specific meetings.
QUESTION: You don't know his schedule?
MR. FOLEY: No, I don't.
QUESTION: I mean, I'm not asking because if we knew the meetings were
still going on we might be able to infer something.
MR. FOLEY: Yes, if I could help you on that, I would. If I can get any
information of that nature this afternoon, please call and I'll convey that
to you, at least in terms of his schedule and meetings and what we know
about those. I would assume, though, that the onset of the Sabbath will
preclude meetings during that period - of a formal nature, in any
event.
QUESTION: Is there anything particularly sacred about Monday? Or is it a
sense that there should be a deadline, that a deadline would focus people's
minds and - is there any reason why it couldn't go until later when the
President and the Secretary will be available again after their various
activities in Europe?
MR. FOLEY: Well, I wasn't with the delegation in London, and some of your
colleagues here in this room were, and may be in a better position than I
to discuss the rationale behind Monday specifically. But as I indicated,
the President and Secretary are leaving the country on Tuesday, and they
felt that the prospect of a summit meeting to launch historic permanent
status negotiations on Monday was a very attractive possibility. It was one
that was also permitted by their overseas travel schedule.
QUESTION: She's not going to the G-8, is she?
MR. FOLEY: No, she's not.
QUESTION: Well, then, she could be back Thursday, right? Or Friday?
MR. FOLEY: I believe that following the summit meetings in Berlin, she
will have additional travel. I can't confirm that, but I understand that
she will have additional travel in Europe on Friday. Then there's just a
short weekend -- Saturday, Sunday -- before the US-EU Summit on the
following Monday, which the Secretary will be attending along with the
President.
QUESTION: So I suppose even though she's not going to Birmingham, she'll
stay?
MR. FOLEY: Yes, my understanding is that she'll be staying on in Europe,
yes, and maybe doing business on the Friday.
QUESTION: Do the American ideas that you talk about include a time-out on
settlements?
MR. FOLEY: Well, our position has not changed on the time-out; that is
still part of our four-part agenda.
QUESTION: Well, yesterday it was a three-part agenda -
MR. FOLEY: No, that was a different question. That had to do with the
aims of a Washington summit meeting next week.
QUESTION: But the time-out is still part of the American -
MR. FOLEY: Yes, it is: of the American four-part agenda, yes.
QUESTION: I have a question on Cyprus.
MR. FOLEY: Are we finished with the Middle East? I'm not anxious to close
off dialogue on any issue.
QUESTION: Well, you don't have any word from Ross, really.
MR. FOLEY: No.
QUESTION: So to ask you about refinements and such may be futile,
huh?
MR. FOLEY: I think so.
QUESTION: Do you remember when Albright said - well, here's something you
probably can address. Her words were "water down" -- that the US positions
would not be watered down. But we know refinements don't mean watering down
in State Department parlance. Is there any change in that construction --
not watering down, but there are room for refinements?
MR. FOLEY: Well, certainly there's been no change in the Secretary's
statement about not watering down the American ideas. I indicated -- you
weren't here yesterday, though - that the American ideas are part of a
package -- an integrated package -- involving parallel steps to be
implemented simultaneously. And all through this process, especially in
recent weeks, we have been involved in trying to refine those ideas to take
account of the requirements and points of view of the two parties.
Ambassador Ross is continuing that effort. He is looking at creative ways
to make the US ideas acceptable to both sides.
But it is, as Mr. Rubin indicated in London yesterday, still on the basis
of the American ideas that were presented to the two parties in London.
QUESTION: By the way, does he see Mr. Arafat, too?
MR. FOLEY: I'm not aware - I was asked that yesterday, and I had no
information that such a meeting was envisaged or that the Chairman was even
going to be available. I have no I information on that today.
QUESTION: Is it possible for you to perhaps get touch with Dennis by our
day's end there - since it will be later there - and if there is anything --
MR. FOLEY: Well, I undertook a few minutes ago to try to find out whether
there were any details concerning his schedule, his movements, his meetings
that I could share with you that I don't have right now. So I will make a
"college try," and you have my phone number. If I have that information,
I'll be glad to share it with you.
QUESTION: (Inaudible.)
MR. FOLEY: That is a novel phrase, George. I commend you on your
expanding lexicon.
QUESTION: Some of the statements by Ambassador Holbrooke and the comments
you made today or three days ago created some space for misinterpretation
of US policy --
MR. FOLEY: How's that?
QUESTION: Regarding the political situation in Cyprus, about the
recognition of one government in Cyprus and --
MR. FOLEY: About what?
QUESTION: Recognition of one government in Cyprus. You said also that
there are two peoples in Cyprus who are alienated and divided. So could you
make a clarification on the US stance on these issues?
MR. FOLEY: Well, there are two communities on Cyprus. But in terms of
Ambassador Holbrooke's remarks, I believe there's been speculation in
Cyprus that those remarks represented a change in US policy. I addressed
that to some degree myself the other day here - making clear that what
Ambassador Holbrooke describing was a de facto situation which has existed
in Cyprus for a long time. There certainly has been no change in US policy,
though, I can assure you of that.
In particular, Ambassador Holbrooke was not in any way signaling a policy
change with regard to our excellent relationship with the Republic of
Cyprus, which, indeed, is the only government that we recognize on the
island. Nor was he according any official status to the Turkish-Cypriot
entity in the north. Ambassador Holbrooke and Special Cyprus Coordinator
Miller have said repeatedly and publicly that the US does not recognize the
so-called Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus. However, because he had been
invited by both sides to try to start a process to settle the Cyprus
problem, Ambassador Holbrooke's response - and it was to a question
that was asked of him - concerning the situation on the ground was
intended to advance our effort. There's really nothing new here at
all.
QUESTION: A British company has been accused of supplying arms to Sierra
Leone, despite the UN embargo. The company says they had - they claim they
had support from the State Department. Can you comment on that?
MR. FOLEY: Yes, the company involved is Sandline International, and it's
a private security firm in the UK. Sandline International periodically
contacted US State Department officials and commented on the situation in
Sierra Leone, but provided no information on arms shipments. I think that's
the critical point that you're asking me about, and I'd like to be very
clear about that. However, Sandline International provides security for
private mining and construction interests, including an American mine in
the Sierra Leone countryside. I would note that Sandline employees were
among the few expatriates who remained in Sierra Leone after the coup,
and kept in touch with State Department officials, as was perfectly
legitimate for them to do and for us to do on our side.
QUESTION: They provided no information on arms shipments?
MR. FOLEY: Yes, that's true.
QUESTION: The company says that they informed the State Department at the
highest level. What level would that be - kept you informed on what they
were doing?
MR. FOLEY: Oh, you'd have to ask them about that; I have no information
to that effect. I understand that some officials in our Bureau of African
Affairs had the kind of conversations with Sandline that I described a
minute ago, but that's the extent of what I can confirm.
QUESTION: And also with the British Embassy.
MR. FOLEY: Yes, it's true that the State Department has been in touch
with the British Embassy concerning the situation in Sierra Leone. And the
State Department asked the British Government to take a strong leap in
soliciting logistical and technical support for ECOMOG operations in Sierra
Leone, as was requested under, I believe, three UN Security Council
resolutions.
QUESTION: I was told in the building yesterday that you had no information
on arms shipments going to the rebel factions in Sierra Leone excluding --
the phrasing excluded the option of providing weapons to ECOMOG, which I
understand is what actually took place.
MR. FOLEY: As I said, we had been in touch with the British Government
concerning logistical and technical support to ECOMOG. However, I can re-
state that we received no information concerning arms shipments into Sierra
Leone.
QUESTION: Jim, on another subject, have you seen the statements coming
out of North Korea threatening to resume their nuclear weapons program
unless the fuel oil shipments, as promised, arrive?
MR. FOLEY: Yes. Those statements are unfortunate, because they're not
founded on the reality of what the United States is doing in implementing
the agreed framework. We expect and trust that the North Koreans will
continue to implement their side of the agreement enshrined in the agreed
framework. The United States has fulfilled its part of the agreed framework
and will continue to do so.
We believe that the agreed framework is in the interests of all parties and
that its provisions will be carried out by all parties. Construction of the
light water reactors and deliveries of heavy fuel oil are ongoing, and we
continue to work with other members of KEDO parties on financing. We, of
course, closely monitor the agreed framework. We are, until now, satisfied
that the DPRK has indeed met its obligations to the present.
QUESTION: You're saying that the fuel oil shipments have arrived on
schedule, on time and in the right quantities?
MR. FOLEY: Thus far they have. The fact of the matter is that the United
States is committed to providing a certain amount of fuel oil per year. And
we fully expect that by the end of this year we will have provided the
amount of heavy fuel that we have pledged to provide.
QUESTION: Is it possible that some of those shipments would be delayed?
Could this have caused some of the concern on the part of the North Koreans
-- that by the end of the year it may all be there but if it arrives in
tranches later than they expect, might that raise concern?
MR. FOLEY: Well, I'm not aware that there has been any delay in the
timetable of shipments. That may be the case; I just don't know about it.
What I am saying, though, is that we have a commitment. Thus far, we have
met the commitment, and we fully intend to do so. By the end of the year,
we intend to have reached the levels of heavy fuel oil shipments that we
pledged to make.
Certainly, there's been speculation publicly in the media about financing
for KEDO and for all the obligations under KEDO. Under the agreed framework,
we worked with South Korea and Japan, as you know, to create KEDO - the
Korean Peninsula Energy Development Organization - in order to fund and
oversee the light water reactor project. KEDO has agreed on an estimated
cost of $5.2 billion for the light water reactor project funding, over the
life of this roughly ten-year project. Discussions among KEDO members
on financing have been ongoing.
The Republic of Korea has agreed to fund 70 percent of the construction in
Japan, a significant part of the project. KEDO has funding for the current
year, and discussions over details of the funding for the rest of the life
of the project continue.
QUESTION: Is there concern - I mean, Japan and South Korea are a good
deal less flush today than they were in 1994. Is there concern that they
might not be able to afford these sums of money?
MR. FOLEY: Well, Secretary Albright, of course, was recently in the
region, in both South Korea and Japan, and had discussions with officials
in both governments about KEDO financing. We have received no indications
on the part of either government that they will be unable or unwilling to
fulfill their commitments.
QUESTION: What percentage is South Korea up for - 17 or 70?
MR. FOLEY: 7-0.
QUESTION: 7-0. And does South Korea or Japan have any role in providing
the fuel oil, or is that a unilateral US obligation?
MR. FOLEY: Well, the US, I would point out, has already contributed
approximately $86 million to KEDO for heavy fuel oil, and also for KEDO
administrative expenses. The US has also provided roughly $27 million for
the canning of spent fuel rods.
I believe that the US is indeed responsible for the bulk of the provision
of heavy fuel oil. I'm not sure that that is a 100-percent responsibility;
but we have a large responsibility in that. On the light water reactor
construction, we have no plans ourselves to participate in funding, in
conformity with previous agreements. However, the US has discussed with
Japan and South Korea the possibility of our making some contribution for
safety-related elements of the light water reactor project in some future
year. If this happens, it would only take place as part of a comprehensive
solution to KEDO's funding problems. And we would, of course, only
consider committing to fund light water reactor safety-related items
after close consultations with the Congress.
QUESTION: Is removal of the rods, is that going forward?
MR. FOLEY: My understanding is that it's almost complete.
QUESTION: Do you have any complete idea of how much do you expect Japan
or South Korea to contribute in all the heavy oil --
MR. FOLEY: I don't have the specific figures. Certainly, the percentages
that were committed to, though, at the time of the signing of the agreed
framework are a matter of record; and I just noted those.
QUESTION: How much do you figure the safety-related equipment will
cost?
MR. FOLEY: I don't have a figure on that. Of course, this is in the idea
stage. As I said, we would be willing to consider this as part of a
comprehensive solution to the funding of the light water reactors, over the
life of the project: that's number one. Number two, we would have to sit
down with Congress and reach agreement on this. So I'm not in a position to
talk about numbers at this point.
QUESTION: But the reason this has come up is essentially because Japan
and South Korea are running into problems in coming up with their
contributions?
MR. FOLEY: Well, I think that we have received assurances that both Japan
and South Korea will meet their obligations. I see no indication otherwise.
There has been, I'm sure you're aware, a desire on their part to see the
United States participate in some way in the light water reactor area. So
we're looking creatively at this as a possibility, as I said, within the
context of a global solution to the issue.
QUESTION: And just one last one - did the Secretary, when she was in
South Korea and Japan, did she ask either country to participate in
contributing to the fuel oil endeavor?
MR. FOLEY: I'll have to take that question.
QUESTION: (Inaudible.)
MR. FOLEY: Thank you, Barry.
QUESTION: Can I ask you about - well, those of us who were there.
MR. FOLEY: Is that on the record or --
QUESTION: I can go on background.
(Laughter.)
But it wasn't volunteered; it came out really reluctantly because, as you
know, they're paying most of the bill for the reactor.
MR. FOLEY: Anything else?
(Laughter.)
QUESTION: Yes. Netanyahu's not coming here. Do you want to revise your
response that you haven't given up hope? Or if you can't do that, could you
point us to where -- should this be the case - where might - it's a little
scattered today because the Secretary's in London and it's sort of a White
House meeting, and you're here -- the State Department is in business here.
Where might the response of the reaction come from?
MR. FOLEY: Well, first of all, Barry, you have stepped out of the room
and, thankfully, returned to the room and brought the Middle East back to
the fore of our briefing today. But you may have obtained information that
I don't have.
QUESTION: No, I just thought it was simultaneous with your coming in here
- the wires.
MR. FOLEY: No, I'm just not aware that there's been any definitive
statement on Israel's part that the Prime Minister will not be able to
attend a summit meeting in Washington on Monday.
QUESTION: You see, I ask for several reasons. One reason I ask is, you're
in a difficult situation. If you say no other date is being talked about,
that might be what you're supposed to say before he says no. If he says no,
I don't know that that will stand. Maybe another date is acceptable.
MR. FOLEY: I don't know that you're right, either. What we have said and
that I can repeat - and I don't think I can say very much on the subject,
given that Ambassador Ross is over there and we're hopeful that he'll reach
agreement. But what we have said is that we've come to the end of the road
of the American effort to try to bridge the gap on the interim issues in
order to launch permanent status negotiations. After all, we are now
less than one year away from what is supposed to be the conclusion of the
permanent status negotiations. We've reached the end of that road.
What we wanted to do was to hold a meeting in Washington to herald the
launching of permanent status negotiations, not to register continued
failure to launch permanent status negotiations. So we have said -- and I
can repeat it -- that in the event that we're not able to hold such a
meeting, then what the United States will do is to re-examine our approach
to the entire Middle East peace process.
QUESTION: And not hold a meeting at a later time?
MR. FOLEY: We do not see a purpose in holding a meeting to register a
lack of agreement. That's the end of the road that we've arrived at -- the
current American effort -- and we envisage such a meeting in Washington as
a historic occasion to launch permanent status negotiations, not to have
another meeting for meeting's sake.
QUESTION: I understand. But when you said we need to re-examine our
approach, would that be the next step, as opposed to reconsidering the
schedule for the meeting?
MR. FOLEY: If we are unable to achieve a breakthrough to launch permanent
status negotiations, the United States will re-examine its current approach
to the Middle East peace process.
QUESTION: Well, there used to be a hovering threat that, I guess, didn't
frighten anybody, that if you couldn't get the sides together you might
just sit it out and give up the ghost. But Albright sort of retracted that
in London when she said peace in the Middle East is far too important for
us to simply abandon the effort. So, when you say re-examine, is the State
Department still saying that one of the options is to sort of take a
recess from mediation?
MR. FOLEY: Well, it's a fully legitimate question, Barry, and it's one
with potentially profound significance: a re-examination. But I'm not in
any position to describe what that may or may not mean, because we're not
there yet. We are still -- and in spite of, perhaps, your own skepticism --
we are still hopeful that we can have such an historic meeting next
week.
QUESTION: Well, it's not my skepticism, it's just that I realize that it
hasn't been in major newspapers yet, but the wire services do have
consistent reports now that he has said, I can't make it by Monday.
MR. FOLEY: I understand. I've not heard that from Ambassador Ross.
QUESTION: Okay.
QUESTION: Where do you stand on a decision on ILSA? There's a letter
today, apparently from some influential senators, pressing the Administration
to impose sanctions and I wondered where that whole process stands.
MR. FOLEY: The decision is close; that's all I can tell you.
QUESTION: The decision's been close for six months.
MR. FOLEY: Yes, I knew that you were going to throw that back at me
because, indeed, we have stated that we expected a decision "soon," at
several points. However, this is very serious business and it involves many
elements, including examination of the facts and circumstances. And, as you
know, given the onset of the Asian financial crisis, one thing that
we did do was take another look at the possible impact of that crisis on
this matter. But you'll just have to watch and wait in order to see. I am
telling you that the decision is going to be forthcoming; I can't tell you
what day, but it's close.
QUESTION: I mean, the problem becomes that when you say soon, soon, soon
and people sort of report that as actual fact, and then soon really turns
out to be six months, and that's not soon and words lose meaning, so --
MR. FOLEY: No, I understand, and I acknowledge the fact that you would
feel that way. So I've said what I have to say and you're just going to
have to wait over the next short period to see the fact that we will be
making that decision and bringing it to your attention.
Q (Inaudible.)
MR. FOLEY: I'm not in a position to announce the date of the decision. I
said it's close.
QUESTION: Do you feel a need to make that decision before the Birmingham
summit and the EU summit?
MR. FOLEY: Well, I think we're in the final stages of making that
decision. Whether it can be made before the summit or around the summit, I
am not aware that we've made that decision. But I said the decision is
forthcoming. Obviously, the summit itself is just around the corner; so
they're going to occur in the same neighborhood. I can't tell you whether
it's going to be before or around about the time of the summit.
QUESTION: What can you say about Eizenstat's travels at the moment?
MR. FOLEY: I have no information on that. I believe he's attending, with
Secretary Albright, the meeting of the G-8 foreign and finance ministers;
that's all I can tell you.
QUESTION: The Contact Group meeting starts in about 14 hours, given the
time difference. Do you have any comments on that - any expectation as to
what might happen?
MR. FOLEY: You are of course familiar with the fact that in its last
meeting in Rome, the Contact Group set May 9, I believe, as a deadline for
Mr. Milosevic to follow through on a series of steps, including embracing a
framework for dialogue; agreeing to a stabilization package; agreeing to
international participation in negotiations; agreeing to ending the
repression; and to undertaking an unconditional dialogue with the Kosovar
Albanians. Those were the demands of the Contact Group in Rome. Of course,
immediately, an investment ban - I'm sorry - an asset freeze - was agreed
upon. And it was also agreed that an investment ban would be implemented
automatically on May 9 if Milosevic had not taken those steps.
So we're on the eve of that meeting. I'm not sure that it's a Contact Group
meeting as such. The foreign ministers who are present in London, who
include the Contact Group foreign ministers, will meet on Kosovo either
today, tomorrow or perhaps on both days. But our expectation, as I said
yesterday, is that the investment ban will come into effect starting
tomorrow.
QUESTION: For lack of progress?
MR. FOLEY: For lack of progress, yes.
QUESTION: Any numbers yet on the impact that might have?
MR. FOLEY: I don't have that. First we're going to have to implement it.
I suppose that, sometime next week, appropriate legal mechanisms must be
implemented -- in this country, as well as in other countries -- in order
to make this investment ban take effect. Once we go through that paperwork,
perhaps we'll be in a position to assess for you what the impact might
be.
Of course, the impact is not probably something that can be scientifically
delineated, because we're talking about preventing investments from
occurring. If we have information about investments that are in the
pipeline that will be prevented from going forward, perhaps we can share
that; perhaps it's proprietary information that we cannot share. But we
have always stated, though, that we believe that the sanctions that had
progressively been implemented on the Serb economy -- on top of the outer
wall of sanctions, which are still in existence -- are undoubtedly having a
very severe chilling effect on the Serb economy and on prospects for
further investment in Serbia. Also on the part of Serbian entrepreneurs, I
would add.
QUESTION: There have been articles that have talked about a very large
Italian telephone company contract that would supposedly stop millions of
dollars worth of investment. It would be just useful, in writing about this,
to know about any other major examples.
MR. FOLEY: I understand that. I can't give that to you today. Let's see
the investment ban imposed, and maybe we'll be in some position to give you
some of that, if we can. But we believe it will be significant.
As you know, the Contact Group in London, I believe, implemented a ban on
Western participation in privatization in Serbia, which had been a source
of revenue for Milosevic personally. We believe that was significant. But
you're absolutely right: To the extent that there were major investments in
the pipeline that are now going to be halted by this, we think it's going
to have, really, a very crippling effect on the Serb economy.
I think that's an economy that's not difficult to cripple, given its
current state.
QUESTION: Is it intended that this investment ban should cover - well, is
it going to cover everybody or just Contact Group members, or are there
other countries that are being asked to - how does it work?
MR. FOLEY: Well, certainly, it obligates the members of the Contact Group,
who endorsed this step in Rome. As you are aware, Russia disassociated
itself from the decision. But we fully intend to urge friends and partners
and other nations around the world to implement a similar investment ban.
But I think no one can argue with the fact that the leading members of the
Contact Group - some of the great industrial powers who are signing
on to this investment ban -- would offer the potential for the most
help and assistance to the Serb economy. And this will, of course,
evaporate once the investment ban is implemented.
QUESTION: You were saying that Russia would be free, under its own
stipulation, to go ahead and invest and not freeze funds? In other words,
they're not taking part in the sanctions.
MR. FOLEY: It's a matter of record - Russia has disassociated itself from
this step.
QUESTION: I know; I'm asking the effect. They would be free, under their
stipulation, not to obey this --
MR. FOLEY: Well, we will continue to urge Russia to undertake measures
that can help persuade Mr. Milosevic to do what is in his interest to do,
to do what is in Russia's interest to do, and is in the interest of all
nations concerned about peace in the Balkans - which is to take the
reasonable steps to diffuse the militarization of the conflict, the
repression underway, and to sit down and negotiate directly and fairly with
his fellow citizens, the Kosovar Albanians of Kosovo.
QUESTION: Jim, is there any change in your assessment of the situation in
Indonesia -- the depth or the breadth of the of the demonstrations that are
currently going on?
MR. FOLEY: There is not a change in our assessment; I can give you an
update on the situation as we see it today. The city of Medan remained
quiet today, May 8, after rioting earlier in the week -- apparently related
to fuel price increases. Meanwhile, student demonstrations have continued
at several campuses and various parts of Indonesia. In Padang, West Sumatra,
local citizens joined a large demonstration march from the university
campus to the city center. The demonstrators have called for political
and economic reform and an end to government corruption and high prices.
The crowd stoned several buildings after police tried to break up the
demonstration, but there were no reports of burning or looting.
As you know, we have urged the Indonesian Government to continue to allow
peaceful demonstrations and we understand, of course, the Indonesian
Government's desire to protect the welfare of its citizens by maintaining
law and order. But we continue to urge the security forces -- and we also
urge students and the public -- to show restraint and to refrain from
violence. Although Indonesia is undeniably moving through a difficult
period, we believe that violence will benefit no one.
QUESTION: Is the military training program for Indonesia under review?
MR. FOLEY: At present, the United States, as you know, George, does not
provide any military assistance for Indonesia. We have allocated $400,000
for Indonesian participation in our expanded IMET program. This training
represents an opportunity to expose the Indonesian military to US military
professionalism and American culture and values. We believe that elsewhere
in the world, experience has demonstrated that this kind of contact often
builds constructive relationships with military officers that would
otherwise be difficult. But in terms of the status of that particular
program, I'd have to refer you to the Pentagon.
Thank you.
(The briefing concluded at 1:45 P.M.)
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