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Cyprus PIO: News Update in English, 04-01-22
From: The Republic of Cyprus Press and Information Office Server at <http://www.pio.gov.cy/>
[01]Thursday, 22 January 2004 UNSG says good offices still available to
Cyprus parties
[02] Population and household projections, 2002-2052
[01] UNSG says good offices still available to Cyprus parties
The UN Secretary-General, Mr Kofi Annan, has stated that his good offices
for a Cyprus settlement were still available and that the parties involved
would have to show their willingness to move forward and settle their
differences. Speaking yesterday after a meeting with German Foreign
Minister Joschka Fischer in Baden, Germany, Mr Annan noted that the
question of Cyprus was among the topics discussed. He also pointed out that
he would have the opportunity to discuss the Cyprus problem with Turkish
Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan in the next few days. The UN Chief's
full statement on Cyprus is the following: "We did discuss Cyprus. We
discussed the question of the reunification of the island. I made it clear
to my good friend the Foreign Minister that my good offices are still
available, provided the parties show their willingness and the will to move
forward and settle their differences. As you are aware, we have made
proposals to the parties last year. That proposal is still on the table,
and I'm getting indications from all concerned that they may want to resume
negotiations, but we haven't reached the stage where I would get involved
yet. I have heard from one of the parties and I am waiting to see what I
hear from the others, and I will have the opportunity also of discussing
this issue with Prime Minister Erdogan (of Turkey) in the next few
days."
[02] Population and household projections, 2002-2052
The Statistical Service announces that it has published the Report
"Population and Household Projections, 2002-2052". The Report presents long-
term population and household projections for the period 1.1.2002-1.1.2052,
which cover the Government-controlled area of Cyprus. The projections are
based on the results of the 2001 Census of Population and on assumptions as
to the future trends of fertility, mortality and migration. 1) The
assumptions on fertility, mortality and migration on which the projections
were based, followed the current trends:
Fertility is assumed to continue its slight declining trend, with the total
fertility rate dropping gradually and reaching 1,3 children per woman in
the period 2017-2021 and remaining at this level to the end of 2051. Life
expectancy at birth is expected to continue increasing for both males and
females and to reach 79,0 and 85,0 years respectively at the end of the
projection period. A positive net migration balance is assumed throughout
the 50-year projection period with the number of immigrants (Cypriots and
foreigners) exceeding the number of emigrants, by 6.000 annually during the
first five-year period, declining gradually to reach 3.000 annually towards
the end of the projection period.
2) On the basis of these assumptions, the long-term projection results from
the period 1.1.2002-1.1.2052 are summarized below:
The population in the Government controlled area of Cyprus will continue to
increase until 2032 when it will reach 851.800 from 705.500 on 1.1.2002. It
will remain at the same level in the period 2032-2036, while from 2037
onwards it is expected to start declining to reach 822.100 in 2052. Already
from 2022 onwards the natural increase of the population will be negative,
with the number of deaths exceeding the number of births, but the positive
net migration balance outweighs the population loss so that the population
will be declining only after 2037. The population age structure undergoes
significant changes during the 50-year projection period. The proportion of
children aged under 15 decreases substantially from 21,5% in 2002 to 13,1%
in 2032 and reaches 11,0% in 2052. In contrast, the proportion of the
elderly aged 65 years and over is increasing from 11,7% in 2002 to 21,3% in
2032 and reaches 28,7% in 2052. The proportion of the working age
population, that is persons aged 15 to 64, increases at first from 66,8% in
2002 to 70,2% in 2012 and follows a declining course thereafter till the
end of the projection period, reaching 60,3% in 2052.
The old-age dependency ratio, representing the ratio of the elderly aged 65
and over to the working age population aged 15-64 years is gradually
increasing; from 1 in 6 in 2002 it increases to 1 in 4 in 2022 and reaches
1 in 2 in 2052. 3) The Report is available at the Government Printing
Office in Lefkosia at the price of £3,00 per copy.
From the Republic of Cyprus Press and Information Office (PIO) Server at http://www.pio.gov.cy/
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