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RFE/RL Newsline, Vol. 3, No. 217, 99-11-08Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty: Newsline Directory - Previous Article - Next ArticleFrom: Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty <http://www.rferl.org>RFE/RL NEWSLINEVol. 3, No. 217, 8 November 1999CONTENTS[A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA
[B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE
[C] END NOTE
[A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA[01] ARMENIAN PRESIDENT IN MOSCOWRobert Kocharian met with PrimeMinister Vladimir Putin and Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov Moscow on 5 November. Kocharian also had what ITAR-TASS described as a "very warm and cordial" meeting with Russian President Boris Yeltsin at the latter's Ogarevo residence, at which Kocharian expressed thanks for Russia's expressions of support following the killings of eight senior Armenian officials in late October. The talks focused on bilateral relations and the prospects for resolving the Karabakh conflict. Armenian Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian and Defense Minister Vagharshak Harutiunian, who accompanied the Armenian president, held meetings with their Russian counterparts. LF [02] NEW SUSPECT DETAINED IN ARMENIAN PARLIAMENT SHOOTINGSArmenian parliamentary deputy Mushegh Movsisian was detainedfor questioning on 4 November in connection with the 27 October shootings in the Armenian parliament, RFE/RL's Yerevan bureau reported on 6 November. On 5 November, opposition parliamentary deputy Arshak Sadoyan told RFE/RL that legislators will propose creating an ad hoc committee to conduct an independent investigation into the killings and deliver a "political assessment." Also on 5 November, replacements were named for five of the slain Miasnutyun deputies who were elected to the parliament on the bloc's party list in the 31 May poll. LF [03] AKSENENKO DISCUSSES CHECHNYA, VISAS WITH AZERBIJANIPRESIDENT...Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Nikolai Aksenenko and Energy Minister Viktor Kalyuzhnyi met with senior Azerbaijani officials in Baku on 5 November. President Heidar Aliev told Aksenenko that Azerbaijan condemns terrorism and regards the fighting in Chechnya as Russia's internal affair, according top Interfax. But Aliev also denied that arms and mercenaries are entering Chechnya via Azerbaijani territory. He said the proposed introduction of visas for Azerbaijanis wishing to enter Russia will aggravate the situation on Azerbaijan's border with the Russian Federation as the large Lezgin, Dargin, and Avar minorities are divided between the two countries. Aliev added that according to the Bishkek agreement on visa-free travel between CIS states, Azerbaijan should be notified 90 days in advance of the introduction of a visa requirement. LF [04] ...FAILS TO PERSUADE AZERBAIJAN TO SHIP MORE OIL VIA RUSSIAMeeting with Natik Aliev, president of Azerbaijan's state oilcompany SOCAR, Aksenenko failed to persuade the oil chief that it would be advantageous for Azerbaijan to agree to export oil via the northern pipeline bypassing Chechnya, which is scheduled for completion by mid-2000, rather than to continue lobbying for construction of the planned Baku-Ceyhan export pipeline. (Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Georgia are scheduled to sign a framework legal agreement on that project at the upcoming OSCE Istanbul summit, and Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze discussed the project with his Turkish counterpart, Suleyman Demirel, in a telephone conversation on 6 November, ITAR-TASS reported.) Kalyuzhnyi offered to allow Azerbaijan to increase from 5 million tons to 12-15 million tons the amount of oil it exports annually via Russia. But SOCAR President Aliev said his company will abide by its agreement to export 5 million tons annually until 2003, according to ITAR-TASS. LF [05] GEORGIA AGAIN CONDEMNS RUSSIAN VISA REQUIREMENTSpeaking onGeorgian state television, Minister of State Vazha Lortkipanidze said Russia's plans to introduce visas for Georgian citizens wishing to enter Russia is aimed at drawing Georgia into the conflict in the North Caucasus, Caucasus Press reported on 6 November. The previous day, Georgian Ambassador to Moscow Malkhaz Kakabadze said Russia proposed introducing those visas as of 1 January. Kakabadze added that Georgia sees no reason for the visa requirement but will begin talks with Moscow on its implementation. Of the 2,202 Russians who took part in a recent poll, the overwhelming majority (2,048) expressed support for the introduction of visas for citizens of Georgia and Azerbaijan entering the Russian Federation, according to "Segodnya" on 5 November. LF [06] THIRD PARTY QUALIFIES FOR REPRESENTATION IN GEORGIANPARLIAMENTGeorgian Central Electoral Commission officials on 7 November announced updated results of the party-list vote in the 31 October parliamentary elections, Caucasus Press reported. According to those data, three parties will be represented in the new parliament. The Union of Citizens of Georgia will retain its absolute majority, having polled 41.85 percent of the party list vote to receive 85 of the 150 seats allocated under the proportional system. The Union for the Democratic Revival of Georgia polled 25.65 percent (51 seats) and the bloc Industry Will Save Georgia 7.8 percent (14 seats). LF [07] KAZAKHSTAN'S PARLIAMENT PASSES DRAFT BUDGET FOR 2000A jointsession of both chambers of Kazakhstan's parliament passed next year's budget in the second and final reading on 5 November, Interfax reported. The budget provides for expenditures of 404.8 billion tenge ($276 million) and revenues of 340.3 billion tenge, the deficit being equal to 3 percent of GDP. Passage of the budget removes the final obstacle to a new three-year IMF loan program. Prime Minister Qasymzhomart Toqaev thanked parliamentary deputies for their "realism" in endorsing the draft, adding that it might have to be amended to meet social requirements. But "Nezavisimaya gazeta" predicted on 4 November that the IMF demand for more effective tax collection will drive many Kazakh industrial enterprises to bankruptcy. LF [08] ARCHIVES OF HUMAN RIGHTS BUREAU IN KAZAKHSTAN DESTROYED BYFIRERecords dating back six years were destroyed by fire at the Human Rights and Legality Bureau in Almaty on 4 November, RFE/RL's bureau in the former capital reported on 8 November, quoting the bureau's director, Yevgenii Zhovtis. The cause of the blaze is unclear. LF [09] KAZAKHSTAN'S FOREIGN MINISTER WARNS AGAINST ISLAMIC THREATSpeaking in Moscow on 6 November, Yerlan Idrisov said thatKazakh security forces have launched an operation against "foreign bandit formations" that infiltrated southern Kazakhstan from neighboring Uzbekistan, AP reported. Three days earlier, a Kazakh Interior Ministry press secretary in Astana denied that unidentified gunmen crossed into Kazakhstan from neighboring Uzbekistan (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 4 November 1999). LF [10] TAJIK PRESIDENT RE-ELECTED...Imomali Rakhmonov polled 96percent of the vote in the 6 November presidential poll, in which 98 percent of the country's 2.8 million electorate participated, Reuters reported on 7 November, quoting Central Electoral Commission spokesman Davlatali Davlatov. Russian and CIS observers said they registered no violations of voting procedure. The OSCE did not send election observers, saying that democratic conditions had not been created for the vote. LF [11] ...AFTER TAJIK OPPOSITION WITHDRAWS BOYCOTTHours beforepolling stations opened on 6 November, United Tajik Opposition (UTO) leader Said Abdullo Nuri lifted the opposition boycott on the poll in return for the release from prison of 93 Tajik fighters and for unspecified concessions related to the conduct of the parliamentary elections scheduled for February 2000, Reuters and AP reported. Affirming that "peace and reconciliation are more important than personal ambition," Nuri also agreed that the UTO will resume its participation in the work of the Commission for National Reconciliation. The opposition had withdrawn from that body and declared a boycott of the elections to protest restrictions on the participation of opposition candidates in the presidential poll. LF [12] TAJIK OPPOSITION FIGURE CLAIMS POLL WAS RIGGEDDavlat Usmonof the Islamic Renaissance Party, which forms the backbone of the UTO, told journalists in Dushanbe on 7 November that he believes the outcome of the poll was rigged and that only 20- 30 percent of voters had participated. A minimum turnout of 50 percent is required for the poll to be valid. Usmon said he will call for the poll to be annulled. Usmon had been registered as a candidate by the Central Electoral Commission, despite having failed to collect the required 145,000 signatures in his support, and insists that his registration was illegal According to official returns, Usmon garnered just 2 percent of the vote, losing even in the Karategin valley in eastern Tajikistan where support for the Islamic Renaissance Party is traditionally strong, according to ITAR-TASS. LF [13] UZBEK GUERRILLAS WITHDRAW FROM TAJIKISTANSome 450 UzbekIslamic militants who had seized a dozen hostages in southern Kyrgyzstan in August left Tajik territory on 5-6 November, together with some 100 Uzbek civilians, ITAR-TASS reported on 6 November. The militants belong to a group headed by Djuma Namangani, who had promised during talks on 4 November with UTO leader Nuri to withdraw from Tajikistan to Uzbekistan. Tajikistan's Minister for Emergency Situations Mirzo Zieyev, a former UTO commander who helped negotiate the release of the hostages seized in Kyrgyzstan, monitored the Uzbek withdrawal. According to him, the withdrawal proceeded without incident, according to ITAR-TASS. LF [B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE[14] KOSOVARS REBURY MASSACRE VICTIMSSeveral hundred ethnicAlbanians attended a reburial ceremony on 7 November for 46 people killed by Serbian forces in Stutica in April. The village, which is in the Drenica region west of Prishtina, was a stronghold of the former Kosova Liberation Army (UCK). PM [15] KOSOVA SERBS MEET WITH RUSSIAN ENVOYFather Sava, who is thespokesman for Kosovar Serb leader Archbishop Artemije, told visiting Russian Ambassador to the UN Sergei Lavrov that Kosova "is exposed to severe ethnic cleansing [and] to extreme ethnic discrimination, not only against Serbs but against all Slav-speaking people." Father Sava added that ethnic Albanian extremists also discriminate against other Albanians who do not hold nationalist views, AP reported on 7 November. Momcilo Trajkovic, who heads the Serbian National Council's Executive Board, told the Russian visitor that KFOR and the province's UN-backed administration have, in effect, become instruments of the Albanian nationalists. Lavrov also met with representatives of the Serbian government. PM [16] KFOR TO STAY FOR UP TO 10 YEARS?Daan Everts, who is theOSCE's chief representative in Kosova, told a Dutch television station in The Hague on 7 November that peacekeepers will probably be needed in Kosova for up to another 10 years. He condemned increasing attacks on the Serbian and Roma minorities in the province. Everts also slammed what he called attempts to partition Kosova into northern and southern halves, RFE/RL's South Slavic Service reported. PM [17] WHO TRIED TO BLOW UP KOSOVA RAILWAY BRIDGE?Unknown personsused up to 50 kilograms of explosives to damage a railway bridge near the divided city of Kosovska Mitrovica on 5 November. It is unclear who planted the charge, nor is it clear whether they intended to blow up a passenger train en route from Serbia or simply to damage the bridge, Reuters reported. UN spokesmen called the blast an act of sabotage. Spokesmen for local Serbs charged that ethnic Albanian nationalists set off the explosion. PM [18] MONTENEGRIN PRESIDENT GETS WASHINGTON'S BACKINGMiloDjukanovic said in Podgorica on 7 November that he is pleased with the results of his recent trip to the U.S. Djukanovic stressed that he received pledges of $40 million in financial support so that he can carry out key reform projects, the Belgrade daily "Danas" reported. He added that his hosts endorsed his recent introduction of the German mark as legal tender alongside the Yugoslav dinar (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 5 November 1999). PM [19] MONTENEGRO TAKES MEASURES FOR ECONOMIC STABILITYEconomicsMinister Vojin Djukanovic said in Podgorica on 5 November that his country is moving toward a "single currency system, which means that the [Yugoslav] dinar may be taken out of circulation," Reuters reported. The following day, the monetary council decided to limit payments in dinars from Serbia to Montenegro to prevent the authorities in Belgrade from "undermining Montenegro's monetary stability" by flooding the republic with dinars. PM [20] FIRST MONTENEGRIN SALARIES PAID IN MARKSAn unspecifiednumber of civil servants received their pay in German marks on 6 November. The previous day, some 34.5 tons of German coins and banknotes arrived from Germany by air in the Croatian port of Dubrovnik. Two trucks with Montenegrin license plates then took the marks across the border into Montenegro, AP reported. PM [21] SERBIAN OPPOSITION LEADERS PLEASED WITH U.S. VISITDemocratic Party leader Zoran Djindjic said in Belgrade on 5November that he and several fellow opposition leaders "achieved every point" on their agenda during their recent visit to Washington, AP reported. He noted that he and his colleagues received pledges of $1 billion in aid for Serbia once democratic changes take place there. PM [22] MYSTERY DEATH OF SERBIAN OPPOSITION FIGUREIn Belgrade on 6November, Djindjic demanded that the authorities "conduct a detailed investigation" into the recent death of his aide Branko Vasiljevic. Djindjic noted that the dead man's "only business was politics," AP reported. Police officials previously said that they are treating the case as suicide. Vasiljevic was shot in the back of the head. PM [23] SERBIAN STUDENTS CALL FOR BOYCOTT OF CLASSESVukasinPetrovic, who heads the Otpor (Resistance) student movement, said in Belgrade on 7 November that his organization will hold a large protest on 9 November. He added that Otpor's goal is to launch a boycott of classes by all university students with the aim of bringing down the government. Petrovic said that his group will stage joint protests with other opposition organizations only if the demonstrations are endorsed by all opposition parties. In Nis, representatives of Otpor signed a joint declaration with several opposition parties. Vuk Draskovic's Serbian Renewal Movement did not endorse the document. PM [24] TUDJMAN GIVES GO-AHEAD TO CROATIAN ELECTIONSCroatianPresident Franjo Tudjman issued a document from his Zagreb hospital bed on 6 November announcing that parliamentary elections will take place on 22 December. The previous day, the upper house of the legislature endorsed new electoral legislation (see "RFE/RL Balkan Report," 2 November 1999). The Croatian government, for its part, rejected EU criticism of the electoral law. PM [25] SPECULATION CONTINUES OVER TUDJMAN'S HEALTHTudjman'sdoctors said in a statement on 6 November that the Croatian president remains under intensive care following recent emergency surgery for what was officially described as a perforated large intestine. The doctors previously said that the president is suffering from complications. Tudjman is widely believed to have been suffering from cancer for at least two years. Zagreb's independent "Jutarnji list" wrote on 8 November that the authorities have not informed the public very well about Tudjman's condition. As a result, speculation about his health and its impact on his political future has been rife, the daily noted (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 5 November 1999). PM [26] ALBANIAN GOVERNMENT WINS VOTE OF CONFIDENCEPrime MinisterIlir Meta's new cabinet won a vote of confidence in the parliament on 5 November. Meta told legislators that his approach in governing will be pragmatic and that he will continue the fight against corruption and crime. Six legislators from the opposition Democratic Party defied party leader Sali Berisha's call for a boycott and attended the session. Berisha demands new elections (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 5 November 1999). PM [27] ROMANIAN WORKERS RAID OFFICE OF BRASOV PREFECTUREThousands of workers from the state-owned Roman truckmakerin Brasov raided the building of the local prefecture on 5 November to protest layoffs and unfulfilled promises of wage increases, an RFE/RL correspondent in Brasov reported. Some 1,800 employees of the company, which has large debts, have been made redundant, while another 2,600 are to be laid off next year. Owing to the company's poor performance, a June 1999 agreement with the government providing for a 15 percent wage hike in October and November has not been implemented. The Brasov mayor has banned any further demonstrations. Seventeen policemen were injured in the riots. A team from the Bucharest Prosecutor General's Office has opened an investigation into the incident. So far one person has been arrested and 20 detained for questioning. MS [28] ROMANIAN PREMIER VISITS RFE/RL HEADQUARTERSRadu Vasile,who attended the CEI summit in Prague (see above), said on 6 November that the meeting's most important result from a Romanian perspective was the consensus reached on the need to remove debris from the River Danube and reopen it for navigation. Vasile made the comment during a visit to RFE/RL headquarters in Prague. He said he wanted to "pay his respects" to RFE/RL for its work in the past as well as in the present. MS [29] ROMANIAN MINORITIES MINISTER PROTESTS PLANNED ANTONESCUSTATUEPeter Eckstein Kovacs said he learned "with indignation" about the decision of the Cluj city council to erect a statue commemorating wartime leader and convicted war criminal Marshal Ion Antonescu (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 1 November 1999). In a facsimile dated 2 November, a copy of which was obtained by RFE/RL, Eckstein Kovacs said the decision is "an insult" to the memory of Jews and Roma killed or persecuted under Antonescu's rule "solely" on grounds of their ethnicity or nationality. He appealed to the city council to reconsider its decision, saying that "otherwise" he will demand that the "responsible state authorities" annul it for violating several laws. MS [30] MOLDOVAN GOVERNMENT ABOUT TO BE DISMISSEDA 5 November noconfidence motion backed by a majority of 52 deputies is likely to trigger the government's dismissal when the legislature meets again on 9 November, RFE/RL's Chisinau bureau reported. The motion was supported by the Communists, the Popular Front, and five independent deputies who had recently left the For a Democratic and Prosperous Moldova Bloc. Also on 5 November, the parliament again rejected the government's bill to privatize Moldova's two main industries--wine and tobacco. IMF representative to Chisinau Hassan Al-Atrash said the decision means the fund will now freeze loans to Moldova. He said the World Bank and the EU are likely to follow the IMF, meaning that Moldova will forfeit some $150 million in loans next year. MS [31] CEI TO SEND MISSION TO MOLDOVAThe CEI summit in Prague on6 November approved a proposal by Czech President Vaclav Havel, whose country holds the organization's rotating chairmanship, to send a fact-finding mission to Moldova, CTK reported. The mission is to explore possibilities for a peaceful solution of the conflict with the separatist authorities in Tiraspol and for the withdrawal of Russian troops from the country. On 7 November, separatist leader Igor Smirnov met with Premier Vladimir Putin in Moscow to discuss the conflict with Chisinau and the proposed withdrawal from the Transdniester of the Russian contingent, Romanian radio reported. MS [32] BULGARIA, ROMANIA FAIL TO AGREE ON RIVER DANUBE BRIDGEMeeting in Borovets on 5 November, Presidents PetarStoyanov and Emil Constantinescu again failed to reach agreement over the location of a second bridge over the River Danube, BTA reported. Constantinescu said the meeting was "not confrontational" and that Romania would be willing to consider an option whereby the country disadvantaged by the location of the bridge would receive compensation from the EU. Romanian Premier Radu Vasile, speaking in Bucharest the same day, said that compensation could come in the form of "free of charge or token price" transit of Romanian electricity deliveries to Greece and Turkey via Bulgaria. Reflecting the irritation of Bulgarians at Romania's position, the Bulgarian daily "Demokratsiya" on 6 November ran the headline "Let Us Build a Bridge Over, or a Tunnel Under, Romania." MS [C] END NOTE[33] RUSSIAN ECONOMY IMPROVING WHILE MOSCOW REMAINS STUBBORNby Sophie LambroschiniThe IMF delegation arriving in Moscow on 8 November will seek to determine the extent of Russia's progress in making its financial transactions easily traceable or what economists call "transparent." The world lending institution has set conditions that Russia must meet in order to receive the second installment, worth $640 million, of a $4.5 billion loan. The IMF released the first installment in July, but the second one was frozen in September after several financial scandals suggested possible misuse of previous loans. The conditions include tighter spending policy, regular audits of the Russian Central Bank's dealings with its affiliated structures in other countries, an audit of the Russian Savings Bank, and the adoption of international accounting standards. According to Russian media reports, Russian authorities have balked at these new conditions. Aleksandr Livshits, the Russian minister responsible for relations with international financial organizations, complained last month that the West is imposing higher standards of transparency on Russia than it is applying to itself. Russia's relations with the fund have been increasingly strained over the past several months amid allegations that the country has misused earlier loans and increased its military budget to finance the war in Chechnya. But Russian authorities express optimism that they will receive the installment. And they also express a stiff-necked determination to continue their economic policies, despite IMF criticism. Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin announced at a cabinet meeting last week that positive economic trends are continuing: GDP growth totaled 1.8 percent in the third quarter of 1999, inflation is under control, and tax revenues are higher than expected. All these indicators are plus points for a country struggling to emerge from the economic crisis of 1998. John Paul Smith is a London-based expert in emerging markets with the investment firm Morgan Stanley. In a presentation to investors last week, he was guardedly optimistic about the Russian economy, saying "there is a clear potential for a shift to more positive factors." He noted that the economic situation is better than anyone could have predicted. Smith attributed this to a pick-up in industrial production and the rise in global oil prices. He added that there has been an improvement in the fiscal situation owing to small-scale reform in collecting taxes. Smith warned, however, that Russian policymakers should not interpret this improvement as the start of an overall economic regeneration. He said the rise in industrial production is mainly owing to the devaluation of the ruble and the resulting cheapness of Russian goods on world markets. Smith also noted that Russia should build on the benefits of the devaluation by implementing further economic reforms. He warned that if the federal government increases expenditures too much, these advantages might be squandered. This is precisely what the IMF is worried about. A tough budgetary policy was one of the IMF's conditions for releasing the loan installment. But budgetary restraint is one of Russia's main "little sins," as the finance minister puts it. Last month, Russia increased its military budget to fund the war in Chechnya, triggering complaints from the IMF. Russia argued that the Chechen war is being financed by the extra revenues collected. And this month, the State Duma approved an extra $6 billion rubles on spending. The government said it has to accept the increase to get the budget past the leftist-dominated Duma. So far, these explanations have not convinced the IMF. Russian officials are suspecting the West of using financial blackmail to force Moscow to compromise on Chechnya. Putin, for his part, has said that Russia will not sacrifice its national interests for what he called "financial lollipops." Unified Energy Systems head Anatolii Chubais, who is also a former prime minister and former Russian contact person for the international financial organizations, has tried to defuse these tensions. "In the list of conditions it is not written that the Bank of New York will not work with Russian importers," he commented at a press conference in Moscow last week. 'In the list of conditions it does not say that Russia should not fight terrorism in Chechnya. I am categorically against pulling the IMF into semi-political decisions on that [issue]. If this does not happen, if the IMF fulfills its obligations, if Russia fulfills its obligations in regard to its interest, then there is a real chance of solving the problem [of releasing the second loan installment] by early December. But even if the second installment of the loan is released, it will not provide Russia with any cash. The loan would be used exclusively to repay Russia's debt to the fund, bypassing Russian institutions completely and ending up back in IMF coffers. The author is an RFE/RL correspondent based in Moscow. 08-11-99 Reprinted with permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
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