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RFE/RL Newsline, Vol. 3, No. 190, 99-09-29

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty: Newsline Directory - Previous Article - Next Article

From: Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty <http://www.rferl.org>

RFE/RL NEWSLINE

Vol. 3, No. 190, 29 September 1999


CONTENTS

[A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA

  • [01] ARMENIAN CLERICS PROTEST GOVERNMENT PRESSURE OVER NEW
  • [02] ARMENIA, RUSSIA TO CONTINUE DEFENSE INDUSTRY COOPERATION
  • [03] U.S. CALLS ON AZERBAIJAN TO RESUME KARABAKH TALKS...
  • [04] ...TO DISMAY OF OPPOSITION
  • [05] GEORGIA PROTESTS DETENTION OF DEFENSE MINISTRY OFICIALS IN
  • [06] GEORGIAN OFFICIALS DENY BASAEV PLANNING TO WINTER IN SVANETI
  • [07] GEORGIA SEEKS TO EXTRADITE SUSPECT IN PRESIDENTIAL
  • [08] KAZAKHSTAN'S PARLIAMENT APPROVES BUDGET IN FIRST READING...
  • [09] ...BUT IMF REPORTEDLY SKEPTICAL
  • [10] LEADING KAZAKH OPPOSITION PARTY RETHINKS ELECTION TACTICS
  • [11] NEW FIGHTING IN KYRGYZSTAN
  • [12] UZBEKISTAN SEEKS TO TIGHTEN SECURITY

  • [B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE

  • [13] TWO DEAD IN EXPLOSION AT MARKET IN KOSOVA
  • [14] THACI REASSURES TURKISH MINORITY
  • [15] DOLE SAYS INDEPENDENCE COULD BE ATTAINED
  • [16] LARGE RALLY IN NIS AS THOUSANDS PROTEST ACROSS SERBIA
  • [17] MILOSEVIC MAKES RARE APPEARANCE TO REOPEN REFINERY...
  • [18] ...AS SERBIAN PATRIARCH URGES HIM TO GO TO THE HAGUE
  • [19] UN ENVOY TO BALKANS SAYS BOSNIA TOO DEPENDENT ON AID
  • [20] HUNGARIAN PRESIDENT PROPOSES COOPERATION WITH CROATIA
  • [21] ALBANIA RATIFIES COUNCIL OF EUROPE CONVENTION ON MINORITIES
  • [22] NATO FORCES CONDUCT EXERCISES IN ALBANIA
  • [23] ROMANIAN PRESIDENT VISITS FRANCE
  • [24] TWO LEGISLATORS QUIT ROMANIAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY
  • [25] EU TO GIVE CREDIT, AID TO MOLDOVA
  • [26] BULGARIAN PREMIER COMMENTS ON NUCLEAR PLANT

  • [C] END NOTE

  • [27] LUKASHENKA PREFERS MONOLOGUE

  • [A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA

    [01] ARMENIAN CLERICS PROTEST GOVERNMENT PRESSURE OVER NEW

    CATHOLICOS

    Six Armenian archbishops on 28 September issued a

    "pastoral appeal" expressing concern that senior members of

    the government are supporting a specific candidate for the

    post of Catholicos, Noyan Tapan reported. That post has been

    vacant since the death of Garegin I in late June. The appeal

    said such intervention calls into doubt "the moral and legal

    process" of electing a new catholicos. On 25 September,

    Archbishop of Artsakh Parkev Martirosian, one of the six

    signatories to the appeal, told RFE/RL that government

    officials told two of the other signatories who the Armenian

    leadership's preferred candidate is, but he declined to

    divulge that candidate's identity. AP on 28 September quoted

    Martirosian as saying that Garegin Nersisian, archbishop of

    the Ararat Diocese, which includes Yerevan, is the

    government's favorite for the post. Presidential spokesman

    Vahe Gabrielian has denied any official interference in the

    election process, AP added. LF

    [02] ARMENIA, RUSSIA TO CONTINUE DEFENSE INDUSTRY COOPERATION

    Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin on 28 September

    approved a draft Russian-Armenian agreement on continuing the

    present production and specialization of firms engaged in the

    development, production and testing of weapons and materiel,

    ITAR-TASS reported. LF

    [03] U.S. CALLS ON AZERBAIJAN TO RESUME KARABAKH TALKS...

    U.S.

    Secretary of State Madeleine Albright has written to

    Azerbaijan's President Heidar Aliev urging him to agree on a

    declaration of principles for the resumption of talks under

    the OSCE's aegis on resolving the Karabakh conflict, Reuters

    and AFP reported on 28 September. Albright said she believes

    it is possible to agree on a date and venue for the

    resumption of those talks before the November OSCE summit.

    She added that the unrecognized Nagorno-Karabakh Republic

    should also be represented at those talks. The talks have

    been deadlocked for almost one year owing to Baku's rejection

    of the most recent peace plan, proposed by the OSCE Minsk

    Group. Albright has also written to Armenian President Robert

    Kocharian welcoming the latter's dialogue with Aliev,

    Interfax reported on 28 September, quoting presidential

    spokesman Gabrielian. LF

    [04] ...TO DISMAY OF OPPOSITION

    Opposition party leaders told

    Turan on 28 September that they consider Albright's proposals

    detrimental to Azerbaijan's national interests. Azerbaijan

    National Independence Party Chairman Etibar Mamedov argued

    that if the Karabakh Armenians are brought into the

    negotiating process, then Yerevan should withdraw. He claimed

    that the Azerbaijani leadership is planning to conduct a

    referendum on the Karabakh peace settlement simultaneously

    with the 12 December municipal elections. He did not

    elaborate. Azerbaijan Popular Front Party chairman Abulfaz

    Elchibey termed Albright's proposals "unacceptable," noting

    that they make no mention of four UN resolutions calling for

    the withdrawal of Armenian forces from occupied Azerbaijani

    territory. Musavat Party Chairman Isa Gambar argued that if

    representatives of the Karabakh Armenian population are

    brought into the peace talks, then representatives of the

    region's expelled Azerbaijani population should also be

    included. LF

    [05] GEORGIA PROTESTS DETENTION OF DEFENSE MINISTRY OFICIALS IN

    ADJARIA

    Speaking at a press conference in Tbilisi on 28

    September, a Georgian Defense Ministry spokesman condemned

    the 5 September arrest in Adjaria of two Georgian Defense

    Ministry officials, Caucasus Press reported. He added that

    the arrest was intended to discredit the central Georgian

    authorities in the runup to the 31 October parliamentary

    elections. The "Batumi alliance" of five political parties,

    including the Union of Revival of Adjar Supreme Council

    Chairman Aslan Abashidze, is considered the most serious

    challenger to the ruling Union of Citizens of Georgia in that

    poll. Lawyers for the two men said that legal procedures were

    violated in the course of charging them with possession of

    drugs. Adjar authorities claim the two officers infiltrated

    the Adjar Republic in order to destabilize the situation

    there. LF

    [06] GEORGIAN OFFICIALS DENY BASAEV PLANNING TO WINTER IN SVANETI

    Senior Georgian frontier guard and intelligence officials

    told Caucasus Press on 28 September there is no truth to

    Russian military intelligence reports that Chechen field

    commander Shamil Basaev plans to move his headquarters to the

    western Georgian mountain region of Svaneti for the winter.

    Those reports claim that Basaev has already sent envoys to

    the region for talks with the separatist "Free Svaneti"

    organization, which has agreed to the temporary Chechen

    presence. Iveri Chkheidze, governor of the Kodori valley in

    Svaneti, told Caucasus Press that no such separatist

    organization exists. He said the Russian reports were

    intended to create a pretext to increase the Russian military

    presence in Abkhazia, which borders on Svaneti. LF

    [07] GEORGIA SEEKS TO EXTRADITE SUSPECT IN PRESIDENTIAL

    ASSASSINATION BID

    Georgian security services are negotiating

    with their counterparts in North Ossetia over the extradition

    to Georgia of Nugzar Khuchua, who they believe participated

    in the February 1998 unsuccessful attempt to assassinate

    Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze, ITAR-TASS reported.

    Khuchua is also suspected on involvement in the bomb attack

    on Vladikavkaz central market in March 1999 (see "RFE/RL

    Newsline," 27 September 1999). LF

    [08] KAZAKHSTAN'S PARLIAMENT APPROVES BUDGET IN FIRST READING...

    A

    no confidence vote in Prime Minister Nurlan Balghymbaev's

    government was averted on 28 September when Constitutional

    Court Chairman Yuri Kim ruled that the 25 September decision

    by both chambers of the parliament to reject the cabinet's

    proposed draft budget for 2000 was invalid, ITAR-TASS

    reported (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 27 September 1999). Kim

    explained that the required majority vote was not achieved.

    The parliament then voted on 28 September to approve the main

    budget indicators for revenues and spending as well as

    pegging the deficit at 3 percent of GDP. Balghymbaev told

    deputies after the vote that Kazakhstan is over the worst of

    its budget crisis and that there is "a good chance" that the

    economic situation will improve, according to Interfax. LF

    [09] ...BUT IMF REPORTEDLY SKEPTICAL

    Interfax on 28 September,

    however, quoted an unnamed senior Kazakh official as saying

    that the IMF believes that the draft's tax revenue target is

    unrealistic and should be lowered by $100 million. That

    target is 23.3 percent higher than the corresponding figure

    for 1999. LF

    [10] LEADING KAZAKH OPPOSITION PARTY RETHINKS ELECTION TACTICS

    Leading members of former Premier Akezhan Kazhegeldin's

    Republican People's Party of Kazakhstan told journalists in

    Almaty on 28 September that the party is withdrawing its list

    of 10 candidates to contest the seats in the lower chamber of

    the parliament to be allocated on a proportional basis,

    Interfax and Reuters reported. They said the reason for the

    move is that the Central Electoral Commission refused to

    register Kazhegeldin, whose name topped the list, as a

    candidate. Another 20 candidates from the party who plan to

    run in the 10 October elections in single-mandate districts

    may withdraw to protest "strong pressure" from the

    authorities, they added. But Central Electoral Commission

    Chairwoman Zaghipa Balieva told RFE/RL on 29 September that a

    letter submitted by the party informing the commission of its

    decision to withdraw its list is inadequate. She noted that a

    written request by the party leadership must be submitted no

    later than 10 days before the poll. LF

    [11] NEW FIGHTING IN KYRGYZSTAN

    Kyrgyzstan's Security Council

    Secretary-General Bolot Djanuzakov told journalists in

    Bishkek on 28 September that a group of the militants who are

    holding 13 hostages in southern Kyrgyzstan attacked a

    government post during the night of 27-28 September but

    retreated after government troops counterattacked, RFE/RL's

    bureau in the capital reported. Also on 28 September, Prime

    Minister Amangeldy Muraliev convened a cabinet meeting to

    assess the readiness of government bodies to provide support

    for a military operation against the militants, according to

    ITAR-TASS. Uzbekistan's Defense Minister Khikmatulla Tursunov

    told journalists in Tashkent on 28 September that Uzbekistan

    has been informed of the militants' location and movements

    and is ready to launch operations against the rebels at any

    time, according to Interfax. Tursunbek Akunov, who has

    mediated between the militants and the Kyrgyz leadership,

    arrived in Pakistan on 28 September for talks with Taliban

    representatives aimed at securing the hostages' release. LF

    [12] UZBEKISTAN SEEKS TO TIGHTEN SECURITY

    The Uzbek government

    press service reported on 28 September that the cabinet has

    adopted a special resolution introducing additional security

    measures both in Tashkent and the provinces, Interfax

    reported. Those measures include additional passport checks

    and barring access to cellars and attics. On 20 September,

    the Human Rights Society of Uzbekistan issued a press release

    reporting the construction of a vast concentration camp for

    Uzbek Muslims sentenced for their religious belief. LF


    [B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE

    [13] TWO DEAD IN EXPLOSION AT MARKET IN KOSOVA

    Two Serbs were

    killed and at least 40 people wounded when two rifle-

    propelled grenades landed in a crowded market outside Kosovo

    Polje on 28 September, AFP reported. NATO-led peacekeeping

    forces in Kosova (KFOR) arrested four people suspected of

    being involved in the attack. Local Serbs, who make up the

    majority of the people in the area, blockaded a road between

    the town and Prishtina's airport to protest what they say is

    a lack of security. Bernard Kouchner, head of the UN mission

    in Kosova, said "this outrageous attack against innocent

    civilians puts in danger all efforts at building democracy in

    Kosovo." Stanimir Vukicevic, head of a Yugoslav government

    liaison with KFOR, said "this extremely inhuman act of

    madness is the consequence of KFOR and [the UN mission's]

    tolerant and benevolent attitude toward the terrorist Kosovo

    Liberation Army." PB

    [14] THACI REASSURES TURKISH MINORITY

    Kosovar Albanian leader

    Hashim Thaci told a group of ethnic Turks on 28 September

    that they are welcome in Kosova and will help build a "free

    and democratic Kosova," the Albanian news agency ATA

    reported. Thaci made his comments in the village of Mamusha,

    near Prizren, which has an ethnic Turkish majority. Thaci

    said that Mamusha's "sons will join the protective troops of

    Kosova." Thaci said during a meeting with officials in the

    village that his goal is to establish a mission at the UN and

    allow the Kosova Protection Corps to participate "in NATO

    mechanisms in the framework of [its] Partnership for Peace"

    program. PB

    [15] DOLE SAYS INDEPENDENCE COULD BE ATTAINED

    In Washington,

    former U.S. Senator Bob Dole told the Senate Foreign

    Relations Committee on 28 September that if Kosovar leaders

    hold free elections, renounce violence, and move toward a

    market economy, "then I believe independence will be

    forthcoming and should be," AP reported. Dole criticized the

    U.S. for not "acting against [Yugoslav President Slobodan]

    Milosevic much earlier." Dole served as an envoy to Kosova

    for President Bill Clinton earlier this year. At the White

    House, Clinton said "what we have supported for Kosovo and

    what we continue to support is autonomy." PB

    [16] LARGE RALLY IN NIS AS THOUSANDS PROTEST ACROSS SERBIA

    Between 15,000-20,000 people gathered in Serbia's second-

    largest city, Nis, on 28 September to call on President

    Milosevic to resign, the Beta news agency reported. Some 20

    opposition rallies were held throughout Serbia the same day.

    Only 10,000 or so turned out in Belgrade, far fewer than the

    55,000 who demonstrated on 25 September. Speaking in Nis,

    Alliance for Change leader Zoran Djindjic said "the Serbian

    system cannot be altered by talks, only by action." He

    derided Milosevic for "ruining the country" over the last

    decade. Organizers said a march on Milosevic's home in the

    Belgrade district of Dedinje will be held on 29 September.

    Police, who until now have kept a low profile at Belgrade

    rallies, are expected to try to prevent the march as they did

    during protests in 1991 and in 1996-1997. PB

    [17] MILOSEVIC MAKES RARE APPEARANCE TO REOPEN REFINERY...

    President Milosevic made a rare appearance on 28 September to

    speak at the reopening of an oil refinery in Pancevo that was

    destroyed by NATO air strikes, AP reported. Milosevic told

    company officials and employees that "in a year, two, or

    three, things will be better." He said "throughout these

    seven years of sanctions and even during the time of the

    brutal bombings we have been achieving [constant] progress."

    Milosevic was accompanied by Serbian President Milan

    Milutinovic, Serbian Premier Mirko Marjanovic, Serbian

    parliamentary speaker Dragan Tomic, and other officials. PB

    [18] ...AS SERBIAN PATRIARCH URGES HIM TO GO TO THE HAGUE

    Serbian

    Orthodox Patriarch Pavle said on 28 September that President

    Milosevic should "resign peacefully so that people who enjoy

    the trust of the world can step in," Pancevo Radio reported.

    Pavle, speaking in the Kosovar town of Gorazdevac, said "it

    is clear at the moment that it is as if we are in a prison,

    behind a wall. There are no political, economic, or social

    ties with any other country." Pavle said he "would rather

    die...than [be] a true war criminal and have them say I'm a

    hero." PB

    [19] UN ENVOY TO BALKANS SAYS BOSNIA TOO DEPENDENT ON AID

    Carl

    Bildt said in Washington on 28 September that Bosnia-

    Herzegovina has been given too much unconditional aid by the

    West, Reuters reported. Bildt said he fears that the Bosnian

    economy would collapse if foreign aid were to be withdrawn.

    Bildt also criticized Bosnian leaders, saying "they have not

    been willing to undertake economic reforms. We have not been

    sufficiently tough with them." In other news, Alija

    Izetbegovic, the Muslim member of Bosnia's presidency, said

    upon returning from a trip to the Middle East on 28 September

    that it "was first and foremost a visit to friends of Bosnia-

    Herzegovina." He said the visit did not violate any rules of

    the presidency. PB

    [20] HUNGARIAN PRESIDENT PROPOSES COOPERATION WITH CROATIA

    Arpad

    Goencz, speaking in Zagreb on 28 September, pledged greater

    cooperation between his country and Croatia and praised the

    situation of ethnic Hungarians in Croatia, MTI reported on 28

    September. Goencz told Croatian Premier Zlatko Matesa in

    Zagreb that cross-border cooperation between Hungarian and

    Croatian regions should be developed. He also praised state

    support for ethnic Hungarian communities in Croatia. Matesa

    said he is hopeful that a free trade agreement between the

    two countries will be signed soon. Goencz also met with

    representatives of six Croatian opposition parties during his

    two-day visit. PB

    [21] ALBANIA RATIFIES COUNCIL OF EUROPE CONVENTION ON MINORITIES

    Albania formally ratified the Council of Europe Convention on

    the protection of ethnic minorities on 28 September, ATA

    reported. Albania's ambassador to the Council of Europe,

    Fotaq Andrea, handed the ratification documents to Council of

    Europe Secretary-General Walter Schwimmer in Tirana. The

    convention demands that members "ensure an effective equality

    between minorities and the majority, to ensure the necessary

    conditions for developing culture and preserving the identity

    of national minorities." Albania's ethnic Greeks constitute

    the country's largest minority, accounting for 3 percent of

    the population. PB

    [22] NATO FORCES CONDUCT EXERCISES IN ALBANIA

    Troops from NATO's

    Albanian Force 2 (AFOR 2) began exercises in Albania on 28

    September, ATA reported. The exercises are being held in

    conjunction with the Defense Ministry in Tirana and are code-

    named Caravan of Friendship 99. They are aimed at promoting

    communication and infrastructure capacities in rural areas of

    the country. Also on 28 September, Albania's defense

    minister, Luan Haidaraga, met with the commander of the

    German contingent in Kosova, General Freidrich Riechman. They

    discussed cooperation between AFOR 2 and Albanian forces as

    well the situation in Kosova. PB

    [23] ROMANIAN PRESIDENT VISITS FRANCE

    French President Jacques

    Chirac told his visiting Romanian counterpart, Emil

    Constantinescu, that France will push to have Romania invited

    to accession negotiations with the EU at the December summit

    in Helsinki, according to a Rompres report cited by the BBC.

    The two presidents emphasized the warm historical relations

    between their two countries. Constantinescu called on French

    companies to invest in Romania, noting that his country's

    economy is steadily improving in several areas. Chirac added

    that trade between the two countries has been growing by an

    average of 30 percent every year. France is Romania's chief

    trading partner and main source of foreign investments. VG

    [24] TWO LEGISLATORS QUIT ROMANIAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    Senator Radu

    Alexandru and Deputy George Serban on 28 September announced

    their resignation from the Democratic Party (PD). Alexandru

    said he has "reached the limits of humiliation and nonsense

    imposed by the entire PD leadership and especially by PD

    President Petre Roman," Romanian Radio reported. VG

    [25] EU TO GIVE CREDIT, AID TO MOLDOVA

    By the end of this year,

    the EU will provide Moldova with a 15 million euro ($15.7

    million) credit line and humanitarian assistance totaling 2.2

    million euros, Infotag reported on 28 September. Timo Summa,

    the head of an EU delegation visiting Moldova, said the

    previous day that he is satisfied with the Moldovan

    government's efforts to continue the reform process. In other

    news, Moldovan Prime Minister Ion Sturza and Romanian Defense

    Minister Victor Babiuc attended a ceremony to officially open

    a new border crossing linking the Moldovan village of

    Costesti to the Romanian village of Stinca. The new crossing

    is part of a transport corridor that will link Turkey with

    Europe. VG

    [26] BULGARIAN PREMIER COMMENTS ON NUCLEAR PLANT

    Ivan Kostov said

    he does not think the Soviet-made Kozloduy nuclear power

    plant will become a stumbling block to Bulgaria's entry into

    the EU, according to a BTA report cited by the BBC. Kostov

    said the time-frame for the closure of four reactors at the

    plant will be set within a month. He said the decision will

    be partly based on whatever financial support the country

    receives for the closures. Kostov added that he is satisfied

    with Bulgaria's discussions on the issue with the European

    Commission. In other news, the cabinet on 28 September held a

    special meeting to discuss a plan to reform the Bulgarian

    military. VG


    [C] END NOTE

    [27] LUKASHENKA PREFERS MONOLOGUE

    By Jan Maksymuik

    The OSCE-mediated talks between the authorities and the

    opposition in Belarus seem to be nearing an end even without

    having really begun. That, at least, is the perception of

    commentators in Belarus's independent press, based on

    President Alyaksandr Lukashenka's 16 September meeting with

    the leaders of power ministries and law enforcement bodies

    and subsequent developments.

    At that meeting, Lukashenka took advantage of the public

    anxiety that followed the blasts in Moscow and Volgodonsk, in

    southern Russia, by ordering his subordinates to take tough

    security measures to prevent terrorist attacks in Belarus.

    According to Lukashenka, Belarus faces a threat not from

    elements in Russia but from domestic "extremists" and

    "nationalists" who intend "to destabilize" the situation in

    Belarus.

    In particular, Lukashenka ordered the border guards and

    customs officers to monitor the border so that "a mouse could

    not creep through it." He demanded that the authorities of

    Minsk and other cities identify venues where "all kinds of

    oppositionists and other scum" can hold demonstrations;

    protests in all other locations were to be banned.

    Lukashenka demanded that within the next three days, the

    state-controlled media inform the public both at home and

    abroad where "Belarusian nationalists" find money "to

    destabilize" the situation in Belarus. And he also ordered

    his administration to close down those newspapers that

    "assail state officials" without good reason, pointing to an

    allegedly libelous article about State Security Secretary

    Viktar Sheyman in the opposition newspaper "Naviny."

    The disappearance of opposition politician Viktar

    Hanchar several hours after the 16 September meeting is seen

    as an ominous indication of events to come in Belarus as a

    result of Lukashenka's instructions. As deputy chairman of

    the opposition Supreme Soviet and organizer of the

    alternative presidential elections in May, Hanchar fell into

    the category of domestic "extremists." The opposition regard

    Hanchar's disappearance as a kidnapping organized by the

    authorities to intimidate political opponents of the current

    regime. Hanchar was to have presided over a Supreme Soviet

    session on 19 September at which the opposition delegation to

    the talks with the authorities was to have been approved.

    Shortly after Hanchar's disappearance, law officers

    seized property belonging to "Naviny" and the author of the

    allegedly defamatory article about Sheyman, without waiting

    for a court order. Sheyman duly filed suit against "Naviny,"

    demanding exorbitant damages (under Belarusian economic

    conditions) totaling 15 billion Belarusian rubles

    ($52,000).Two days later, a Minsk court ruled in Sheyman's

    favor. "Naviny", which turns a monthly profit of some $2,700,

    now faces closure.

    Western ambassadors to Minsk who expressed their concern

    over Hanchar's disappearance met with Lukashenka's response

    that they should look for Hanchar in the West before alluding

    to any sinister goings-on in Belarus. Echoing a high-ranking

    official in the presidential administration, official media

    said Hanchar staged his disappearance in order to gain more

    publicity. But as protests have increased around the globe,

    Minsk has launched an investigation into both Hanchar's

    disappearance and that of former Interior Minister Yury

    Zakharanka in May.

    The latest developments in Belarus highlight some

    unanswered questions about Lukashenka's regime and the

    attitude of Western democracies toward it.

    First, was Lukashenka's declaration to enter into a

    dialogue with the opposition really sincere? Or was he

    perhaps acting on a political calculation--as some Belarusian

    commentators suggest--to "simulate" negotiations in order to

    gain legitimacy for himself and his government in the West?

    "I have few illusions that we will be able to conduct talks

    with Lukashenka. He prefers to give endless monologues,"

    Stanislau Bahdankevich, head of the opposition United Civic

    Party, noted in mid-August. Judging from developments since

    then, Bahdankevich was right.

    Second, has the OSCE--the proponent of political

    dialogue in Belarus--any leverage to make that dialogue

    happen? The answer again appears to be "no." Lukashenka's

    regime has not created any conditions for a "favorable

    political climate," as requested by the Belarusian opposition

    ahead of the OSCE-mediated talks. Those conditions included

    access to the state-run media for the opposition and the

    release of former Premier Mikhail Chyhir and other political

    prisoners. In fact, the political climate in Belarus has

    become even more oppressive than was the case before the

    preparations for the dialogue began.

    Third, what should be done by the West to promote

    democracy in Belarus, which is overtly defying Western

    political and moral values? Belarus offers embarrassing and

    puzzling proof of a regime in Europe that suppresses

    political opponents and tramples on human rights while

    enjoying a substantial measure of popular support and

    remaining virtually unpunished in the international arena.

    Unlike Turkmenistan, which engages in similiar practices with

    impunity, Belarus has no strategic reserves of natural gas.

    In this context, any Western response to Lukashenka's

    latest challenge will reflect not only the measure of his

    credibility in the international arena. It will also attest

    to the West's commitment to promoting democracy where it is

    so sadly lacking and so desperately needed.

    29-09-99


    Reprinted with permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
    URL: http://www.rferl.org


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