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RFE/RL Newsline, Vol. 3, No. 174, 99-09-07

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty: Newsline Directory - Previous Article - Next Article

From: Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty <http://www.rferl.org>

RFE/RL NEWSLINE

Vol. 3, No. 174, 7 September 1999


CONTENTS

[A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA

  • [01] KARABAKH LEADERSHIP INSISTS ON PARTICIPATION IN PEACE TALKS
  • [02] AZERBAIJAN'S PRESIDENT MAY SEEK THIRD TERM
  • [03] AZERBAIJAN'S FORMER PARLIAMENTARY SPEAKER DENIES HE WAS
  • [04] FORMER KAZAKH PREMIER'S PARTY SPILTS
  • [05] IS KAZAKHSTAN RETHINKING SALE OF OIL STAKE?
  • [06] KAZAKHSTAN'S FOREIGN MINISTER DISCLAIMS KNOWLEDGE OF MIG
  • [07] UZBEK MILITANTS READY TO NEGOTIATE WITH KYRGYZ GOVERNMENT...
  • [08] ...WHICH DOWNPLAYS DANGER
  • [09] TAJIK OPPOSITION PESSIMISTIC OVER CHANCES OF FAIR
  • [10] ...WHILE WOULD-BE PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES PRESSURED

  • [B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE

  • [11] RUSSIA'S AVDEEV WANTS UN TO REIN IN KFOR ACTIVITIES...
  • [12] ...DEMANDS FULL ABOLITION OF UCK STRUCTURES
  • [13] DRASKOVIC PRAISES RUSSIAN MEDIATION IN RAMBOUILLET
  • [14] RUSSIAN PEACEKEEPERS KILL THREE SERBS
  • [15] FISCHER CALLS ON THACI TO END REVENGE VIOLENCE
  • [16] IS SERBIA'S PRESIDENT UNDER HOUSE ARREST?
  • [17] SERBIAN ANTI-GOVERNMENT PROTESTERS SENTENCED
  • [18] ALLIANCE FOR CHANGE SHUNS DRASKOVIC
  • [19] DODIK BARS POPLASEN FROM OFFICES
  • [20] REPUBLIKA SRPSKA OFFICERS TOLD NOT TO GO ABROAD
  • [21] JOINT POLICE START PATROLS IN BRCKO
  • [22] CROATIA TO APPEAL TO INTERNATIONAL COURT OF JUSTICE
  • [23] SLOVENIAN TRUCKERS, GOVERNMENT AGREE TO END BLOCKADE
  • [24] ALBANIA CRACKS DOWN ON GANGS
  • [25] ROMANIAN SHIP OWNERS BLOCK DANUBE
  • [26] GAGAUZ-YERI GOVERNOR LOSES RUN-OFF
  • [27] BULGARIAN NATIONAL FLAG DESECRATED IN ETHNIC TURKISH REGION

  • [C] END NOTE

  • [28] OLD ROGUES KEEP OLD PROBLEMS ALIVE

  • [A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA

    [01] KARABAKH LEADERSHIP INSISTS ON PARTICIPATION IN PEACE TALKS

    Arkadii Ghukasian, the president of the unrecognized Nagorno-

    Karabakh Republic, was quoted on 6 September as having told a

    visiting U.S. Congressman that Armenia is not authorized to

    try to resolve the Karabakh conflict single-handedly in talks

    with Azerbaijan and that no peace settlement is possible

    without the participation and approval of Karabakh Armenian

    officials, RFE/RL's Stepanakert correspondent reported. Also

    on 6 September, Karen Mirzoyan, who is Karabakh's permanent

    representative in Yerevan, told RFE/RL that the most recent

    peace proposal by the OSCE Minsk Group should not be

    substantially amended to accommodate Azerbaijan's objections.

    Meeting in Yerevan two days earlier with the U.S. ambassador

    and the U.S. co-chairman of the Minsk Group, Karabakh Foreign

    Minister Naira Melkumian said that while the precise term

    used to define the future relations between Azerbaijan and

    the enclave may be changed, those relations must be based on

    the principle of equality, according to Noyan Tapan. LF

    [02] AZERBAIJAN'S PRESIDENT MAY SEEK THIRD TERM

    President Heidar

    Aliev, who is 76, told leading members of his Yeni Azerbaycan

    party in Baku on 5 September that he feels well and may run

    for a third presidential term in 2003 "if the people want"

    him to do so, Turan reported. Aliev was elected president in

    September 1993 and re-elected in October 1998. Turan said the

    rationale for his statement is that the present constitution,

    which allows one individual to serve no more than two

    consecutive terms as president, was adopted only in November

    1995. Aliev also praised Social Security Minister Ali Nagiev,

    leader of one of two rival factions within Yeni Azerbaycan,

    and defended the right of his son Ilham to a career in

    politics. Some observers believe that Ilham Aliev is being

    groomed for the chairmanship of Yeni Azerbaycan as a first

    step toward succeeding his father as president (see "RFE/RL

    Caucasus Report," Vol. 2, No. 34, 26 August 1999). LF

    [03] AZERBAIJAN'S FORMER PARLIAMENTARY SPEAKER DENIES HE WAS

    DETAINED IN U.S.

    Rasul Guliev told Turan on 6 September that

    reports by the Azerbaijani Interior Ministry and Prosecutor-

    General's office that U.S. immigration officials detained him

    on 3 September are disinformation. Guliev resigned three

    years ago as parliamentary speaker after harshly criticizing

    President Aliev's policies. In January 1998, the Azerbaijani

    Prosecutor's Office and National Security Ministry accused

    Guliev of conspiring from exile to overthrow President Aliev

    and of embezzling millions of dollars. Three months later,

    the Azerbaijani parliament voted to strip him of his deputy's

    immunity (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 16 January and 8 April

    1998). LF

    [04] FORMER KAZAKH PREMIER'S PARTY SPILTS

    Lira Bayseitova, one of

    15 former members of the Republican People's Party of

    Kazakhstan who broke with that party last month (see "RFE/RL

    Newsline," 18 August 1999), told journalists in Almaty on 6

    September that the 15 have now registered a new political

    party named Respublika-2000, RFE/RL's bureau in the former

    capital reported. The new party has already succeeded in

    registering branches in five of Kazakhstan's 14 oblasts but

    will not be able contend the 10 October elections to the

    lower house of parliament as the 31 August deadline for

    applying to do so has already elapsed. The Republican

    People's Party is headed by former Premier Akezhan

    Kazhegeldin. Meanwhile, several would-be parliamentary

    candidates in Almaty have appealed to a local court to extend

    the 9 September deadline for registration, claiming that the

    Central Electoral Commission "deliberately" mislaid documents

    to create a pretext for failing to do so. LF

    [05] IS KAZAKHSTAN RETHINKING SALE OF OIL STAKE?

    Kazakhstan's

    Prime Minister Nurlan Balghymbaev told journalists in Astana

    on 5 September that the planned sale of part of Kazakhstan's

    25 percent stake in the U.S.-Kazakh consortium Tengizchevroil

    "is not an urgent need," Interfax reported. If the sale does

    go ahead, it will be "transparent" and Kazakhstan will seek a

    fair price, Balghymbaev added. Several prominent politicians

    have expressed their opposition to the planned sale, which

    Balghymbaev announced three weeks ago (see "RFE/RL Newsline,"

    25 August and 3 September 1999). On 6 September, Interfax

    quoted former KazakhOil head Nurlan Qapparov, who was fired

    for his opposition to the sell-off, as saying that neither

    KazakhOil nor any other government agency participated in

    talks on the sale. He said he cannot confirm that Mobil has

    offered to buy all or part of Kazakhstan's stake in

    Tengizchevroil at a price of $100 million for each 1 percent

    share. LF

    [06] KAZAKHSTAN'S FOREIGN MINISTER DISCLAIMS KNOWLEDGE OF MIG

    SALES

    At a meeting in Tokyo on 6 September with his Japanese

    counterpart, Masahiko Komura, Kasymzhomart Toqaev again said

    that the government of Kazakhstan had no prior knowledge of

    the recent delivery to North Korea of some 30 MiG-21

    aircraft, ITAR-TASS reported (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 23

    August 1999). He added that Astana has asked North Korea to

    return the planes. Komura and Toqaev also discussed political

    and economic ties, and Japan undertook to continue to provide

    financial aid to Kazakhstan. LF

    [07] UZBEK MILITANTS READY TO NEGOTIATE WITH KYRGYZ GOVERNMENT...

    At talks with Human Rights Movement of Kyrgyzstan chairman

    Tursunbek Akunov, the estimated 400-500 ethnic Uzbek

    militants who still hold 12 hostages in southern Kyrgyzstan

    expressed their willingness to take part in negotiations in

    Batken with Kyrgyz government representatives, RFE/RL's

    Bishkek bureau reported on 7 September, citing the

    presidential press service. Akunov returned to Batken on 7

    September after meeting with the guerrillas. LF

    [08] ...WHICH DOWNPLAYS DANGER

    The Kyrgyz Foreign Ministry issued

    a statement on 6 September saying that the Kyrgyz leadership

    is taking all necessary measures to neutralize the guerrillas

    and secure the hostages' release, Interfax reported. It

    called on the UN and OSCE to condemn "attempts by

    international terrorists" to "force their ideological views

    upon the people of Kyrgyzstan." Also on 6 September,

    presidential administration Defense and Security Department

    head General Bolot Djanuzakov told journalists that the

    hostage taking does not pose any danger to foreign residents

    in Kyrgyzstan. But "Nezavisimaya gazeta" reported on 7

    September that police in Bishkek are rounding up Afghans and

    Pakistanis on suspicion of being connected with the

    guerrillas. Meanwhile, ITAR-TASS reported that four residents

    of Aravan Raion in southern Kyrgyzstan were arrested on 5

    September for possession of extremist Islamic literature. LF

    [09] TAJIK OPPOSITION PESSIMISTIC OVER CHANCES OF FAIR

    ELECTIONS...

    Opposition party leaders aligned in the United

    Tajik Opposition and Communist Party head Shodi Shabdolov met

    in Dushanbe on 3 September to discuss the upcoming

    presidential and parliamentary elections, Asia Plus-Blitz

    reported on 6 September. At an earlier meeting, those

    opposition leaders said they fear it may prove impossible to

    create conditions for free and fair elections, in particular

    to allow all political parties access to the media and

    representation on election commissions, according to

    "Nezavisimaya gazeta" on 4 September. LF

    [10] ...WHILE WOULD-BE PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES PRESSURED

    Former

    Premier Abdumalik Abdulladjonov, who polled over 30 percent

    of the vote in the 1994 presidential elections, cannot return

    to Tajikistan to contend the poll as he is charged with

    masterminding the 1998 insurgency in Leninabad by Mahmud

    Khudoiberdiev. The Tajik authorities are also pressuring a

    second presidential hopeful, Congress of Peoples of

    Tajikistan leader Sayfiddin Turaev. Meanwhile, the Ministry

    of Justice has applied to the Supreme Court to disband the

    Agrarian Party and the Adolat va Taraqqiyot Party. LF


    [B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE

    [11] RUSSIA'S AVDEEV WANTS UN TO REIN IN KFOR ACTIVITIES...

    After

    meeting with Yugoslav Foreign Minister Zivadin Jovanovic in

    Belgrade on 6 September Jovanovic, Russian First Deputy

    Foreign Minister Aleksandr Avdeev said that "under the slogan

    of maintaining sovereignty and territorial integrity, some

    Western countries are recommending solutions violating those

    principles and UN Resolution 1244 and are practically leading

    to [Kosova's] secession," Reuters reported, citing Tanjug.

    Avdeev added that Russia will work with the UN Security

    Council to try to make certain that KFOR abides by UN

    guidelines, ITAR-TASS reported. Observers noted that Avdeev

    was alluding to a recent decision by the UN Mission in Kosovo

    (UNMIK) to declare the German mark Kosova's currency in place

    of the Yugoslav dinar (see "RFE/RL Newsline, " 3 September

    1999). PG/FS

    [12] ...DEMANDS FULL ABOLITION OF UCK STRUCTURES

    Avdeev told AP

    on 6 September that "we understand the demilitarization [of

    the Kosova Liberation Army (UCK)] in the full sense of the

    word.... That is not only the confiscation of armaments, but

    also the disbandment of UCK structures. Russia feels

    negatively about all the variants providing for preservation

    of the army as an organized structure." Avdeev was referring

    to recent suggestions by NATO member states to transform the

    UCK into a lightly armed civil defense structure (see "RFE/RL

    Newsline," 3 September 1999). FS

    [13] DRASKOVIC PRAISES RUSSIAN MEDIATION IN RAMBOUILLET

    Serbian

    Renewal Movement leader Vuk Draskovic told Avdeev in Belgrade

    on 6 September that Yugoslavia made a mistake by not signing

    the Rambouillet accord in late February. Draskovic said "our

    trouble was that [Yugoslav President Slobodan] Milosevic

    failed to demonstrate enough statesmanship during

    negotiations [on Kosova] in France early this year and did

    not heed the advice of the Russian representatives in the

    [international] Contact Group." Observers note, however, that

    Draskovic was Yugoslav deputy prime minister at the time of

    the Rambouillet talks and rejected the deployment of NATO

    troops. Instead, he had suggested the deployment of "a UN

    force that will disarm the Albanian terrorists together with

    our forces," BETA reported on 25 February. FS

    [14] RUSSIAN PEACEKEEPERS KILL THREE SERBS

    Russian peacekeepers

    shot dead three Serbian gunmen in a village near Gjilan on 6

    September. The Serbs earlier fired at a passing car, killing

    one ethnic Albanian and injuring two. When the Russian forces

    arrived at the scene and tried to arrest the gunmen, the

    Serbs shot at the peacekeepers, who returned the fire. NATO

    Secretary-General Javier Solana said in Prishtina that "this

    incident...proves that the Russian troops behave according to

    the obligations that all KFOR troops have.... We have one

    KFOR, not two KFORs," Reuters reported. Solana also met with

    a delegation of ethnic Albanians from Rahovec who are

    blocking roads to prevent Russian troops from entering their

    town. A delegation member told an RFE/RL South Slavic Service

    correspondent that Solana "has been very correct. He said

    that the question of Rahovec cannot be solved against the

    will of its citizens." FS

    [15] FISCHER CALLS ON THACI TO END REVENGE VIOLENCE

    Speaking in

    Berlin on 6 September, German Foreign Minister Joschka

    Fischer urged the UCK's Hashim Thaci to end revenge killings

    by ethnic Albanians against members of the Serbian and Roma

    minorities. Referring to unspecified recent incidents, Thaci

    replied: "We have distanced ourselves from the events of the

    last days, and we condemn them.... There can be no acts of

    revenge against Serbs or Roma.... Our goal is to have

    democracy in Kosova...and we will complete the transformation

    of the UCK" from a guerrilla to a peace-time organization,

    Reuters reported. PM

    [16] IS SERBIA'S PRESIDENT UNDER HOUSE ARREST?

    London's "The

    Guardian" reported from Belgrade on 7 September that Milan

    Milutinovic has fallen out of favor with his Yugoslav

    counterpart, Slobodan Milosevic. The newspaper quoted a

    spokesman for the New Democracy party as saying that

    Milutinovic is under house arrest and that "his life is

    threatened." The spokesman called for an independent

    commission to determine whether Milutinovic is able to carry

    out his duties. For several weeks, opposition media have

    suggested that Milutinovic was in hospital undergoing

    treatment for high blood pressure or that he was in

    confinement. Government spokesmen have dismissed the reports.

    Milutinovic is among the five top Belgrade leaders whom the

    Hague-based war crimes tribunal indicted in May. PM

    [17] SERBIAN ANTI-GOVERNMENT PROTESTERS SENTENCED

    A Leskovac

    court sentenced five persons to eight months in prison on 6

    September for damaging the home of Zivojin Stefanovic, who is

    the local chair of Milosevic's Socialist Party of Serbia. The

    incident took place earlier this summer (see "RFE/RL

    Newsline," 15 July 1999). PM

    [18] ALLIANCE FOR CHANGE SHUNS DRASKOVIC

    Vladan Batic, who is the

    spokesman for the Serbian opposition Alliance for Change,

    said in Belgrade on 6 September that his group "will no

    longer have anything to do with" Draskovic. Batic charged

    that Draskovic seeks to fool voters into thinking that he is

    part of the opposition when in fact he sides with the regime.

    Turning to other topics, Batic said that the alliance will

    hold a "convention" in Novi Sad on 17 September to present

    its political platform to the public. Four days later, the

    alliance will launch in Belgrade a series of new protests

    aimed at creating "a critical mass large enough to bring the

    whole of Serbia to its feet," Reuters reported. PM

    [19] DODIK BARS POPLASEN FROM OFFICES

    The Republika Srpska's

    moderate caretaker Prime Minister Milorad Dodik said in Banja

    Luka on 7 September that he has barred Nikola Poplasen from

    using the presidential offices, security guards, phones, and

    cars. Dodik stressed that the international community's

    Carlos Westendorp ousted Poplasen as president in March,

    Reuters reported. Poplasen has refused to accept that

    decision, which, Dodik argued, has led to instability in the

    Republika Srpska. PM

    [20] REPUBLIKA SRPSKA OFFICERS TOLD NOT TO GO ABROAD

    The Bosnian

    Serb Defense Ministry issued an order on 6 September

    forbidding its officers to travel outside the Republika

    Srpska or Yugoslavia lest they be arrested for war crimes and

    sent to The Hague (see "RFE/RL Balkan Report." 31 August

    1999). PM

    [21] JOINT POLICE START PATROLS IN BRCKO

    Joint police units

    consisting of Serbs, Croats, and Muslims began patrols in

    Brcko on 6 September. An RFE/RL correspondent reported from

    that town that the appearance of the patrols is one of the

    first tangible results of the international community's

    decision to place Brcko under joint rule of the mainly Muslim

    and Croatian federation and the Republika Srpska. In Tuzla,

    the organization representing Muslims from Brcko accused

    Ambassador Robert Farrand, who is the international

    community's representative for Brcko, of failing to ensure

    multi-ethnic management of enterprises in Brcko. PM

    [22] CROATIA TO APPEAL TO INTERNATIONAL COURT OF JUSTICE

    Justice

    Minister Zvonimir Separovic said in Zagreb on 6 September

    that his government will ask the Hague-based International

    Court of Justice to rule whether the war crimes tribunal

    located in that city has jurisdiction with regard to the two

    1995 offensives in which the Croatian army defeated ethnic

    Serb rebels. The war crimes court has threatened Croatia with

    sanctions if it does not provide various documents regarding

    the offensives and the subsequent flight of most of the local

    Serbian population. The Croatian authorities maintain that

    the tribunal has no authority to investigate the offensives,

    which Zagreb considers an internal matter. PM

    [23] SLOVENIAN TRUCKERS, GOVERNMENT AGREE TO END BLOCKADE

    Finance

    Minister Mitja Gaspari and Janko Razgorsek, who is the

    minister in charge of matters pertaining to small businesses,

    said in Ljubljana on 6 September that striking truckers will

    receive their overdue wages (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 6

    September 1999). The ministers also agreed not to issue any

    new permits for truckers to transport goods abroad. The

    truckers apparently dropped their demand for Razgorsek's

    ouster. Police did not intervene against the strikers, who

    blocked several of Slovenia's most important roads. PM

    [24] ALBANIA CRACKS DOWN ON GANGS

    Public Order Ministry official

    Fadil Canaj told dpa on 6 September that Albanian police have

    broken up 12 organized criminal gangs within the last four

    weeks, including the most notorious of them. Canaj said that

    last week police arrested the famous Vlora gang leader

    Myrteza Caushi--also known as "Zani"--and four of his

    associates (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 2 July 1999).

    Investigators have charged Zani and his gang with the murder

    of at least 10 people, kidnappings, and several robberies. On

    3 September in Durres, police also arrested gang leader Bujar

    Buzani and two other members of his gang. Buzani is accused

    of killing six policemen in June 1997 and has also been

    charged with other killings as well as robberies and rapes.

    Police have also arrested several gang members in the towns

    of Berat, Fier, Elbasan, Burrel, and Tropoja who had eluded

    the authorities since 1997. FS

    [25] ROMANIAN SHIP OWNERS BLOCK DANUBE

    Romanian ship owners on 6

    September launched a three-day blockade of the River Danube

    near Calarasi to protest losses caused by Serbia's diverting

    traffic on the river and the international community's

    failure to respond, RFE/RL's Bucharest bureau reported.

    Following the destruction of bridges during NATO air strikes,

    the Serbs diverted traffic to a bypass channel built last

    century. Nearly 30 Romanian ships, however, remain unable to

    leave the Novi Sad port. The Serbs say they will not rebuild

    the bridges since they have not been affected by their

    destruction. The ship owners also complain that the oil

    embargo against Yugoslavia has caused them $50 million in

    losses and that they have had to lay off some 3,400 out of

    5,288 employees. Transportation Minister Traian Basescu said

    the protest is justified, adding that NATO and the EU bear

    the responsibility and that NATO has forgotten the promises

    it made to Romania during the crisis. MS

    [26] GAGAUZ-YERI GOVERNOR LOSES RUN-OFF

    Georgii Tabunschik,

    governor of the Gagauz-Yeri Autonomous Republic, has lost the

    5 September run-off, RFE/RL's Chisinau bureau reported the

    next day. Tabunschik's challenger, Moldovan Deputy Foreign

    Minister Dumitru Croitoru, received 61 percent of the vote

    (see also "RFE/RL Newsline," 24 August 1999). MS

    [27] BULGARIAN NATIONAL FLAG DESECRATED IN ETHNIC TURKISH REGION

    Several national flags were desecrated on 5 September, the

    eve of Bulgaria's national holiday, in the town of Kurdzhali,

    AP reported the next day, citing BTA. More than half of the

    town's population belongs to the ethnic Turkish minority. On

    6 September, Bulgaria marked the 114th anniversary of the end

    of Turkish rule. MS


    [C] END NOTE

    [28] OLD ROGUES KEEP OLD PROBLEMS ALIVE

    By Patrick Moore

    Milorad Dodik, who is the moderate caretaker prime

    minister of the Republika Srpska, told "Glas Srpski" last

    week that those responsible for the past decade's conflicts

    must leave office if the Balkans are ever to become stable.

    Dodik argued that "Serbia and the Balkans can find peace

    only if [Yugoslav President] Slobodan Milosevic, [his

    Croatian counterpart] Franjo Tudjman, [Bosnian Muslim leader]

    Alija Izetbegovic, and the Republika Srpska's wartime chiefs

    leave the political scene.... Milosevic is the main failure

    of the past 10 years. His policy of destabilization and

    launching ethnic conflicts has caused significant tensions in

    the Balkans and in southeastern Europe," Reuters reported.

    Observers both inside and outside the region have

    repeatedly noted the problems posed by the continuation in

    office of those responsible for the wars. In the case of

    Serbia, Milosevic has remained in power long enough to lead

    his country into no fewer than four wars. He has lost each

    and every one of them, as a result of which hundreds of

    thousands of Serbs have been forced to resettle.

    Should he manage to ride out the present political

    crisis, just as he has survived the previous ones, he might

    be tempted to engage in conflicts with Montenegro, the

    Sandzak Muslims, or Vojvodina. And should he prove as

    unsuccessful in those conflicts as he has in the last four,

    he soon may find himself reduced to governing a territory not

    much larger than the Ottoman Pashaluk of Belgrade.

    Something fundamental, moreover, has changed for

    Milosevic. Until this May, he was courted by international

    diplomats as the "one man who could make things happen" in

    the region, the mover-and-shaker who alone could make any

    peace agreement stick. Or so many thought.

    In late May, however, the Hague-based war crimes

    tribunal put an end to all that. The court indicted Milosevic

    and four of his top lieutenants for war crimes and thereby

    made them politically unacceptable as international

    negotiators, at least for countries where the rule of law

    holds sway. This move may have frustrated or angered those

    diplomats who would have preferred business-as-usual in

    Belgrade. The court, however, placed Milosevic beyond the

    pale of respectability once and for all.

    The indictment had repercussions within Serbia, too.

    After Milosevic lost Kosova in June, the long-silent

    opposition found its voice again. One of their key arguments

    against him was that under the indictment, he was ineligible

    to carry out his presidential duties because he could no

    longer represent the country abroad. The indictment of

    Milosevic and the other four men, moreover, further served to

    drive home the message to the Serbian public that their

    country had become isolated under Milosevic and had no future

    in the international community as long as he stayed in

    office.

    The shadow of The Hague hovers over Tudjman as well. In

    July, a prosecutor at the tribunal suggested that Tudjman

    bears responsibility for Croatia's anti-Muslim policies in

    Bosnia-Herzegovina during the 1993-1994 conflict. The

    prosecutor made the remarks at the trial of a Croatian

    indicted war criminal, who, the prosecutor suggested, was

    simply Tudjman's "tool." In recent days, the Croatian press

    has quoted court officials to the effect that the tribunal

    has not indicted Tudjman. It remains to be seen whether the

    president will venture to attend the opening session of the

    UN General Assembly this fall or engage in other foreign

    travel.

    Of late, the pressure from The Hague has been felt all

    the more sharply in Zagreb because the court threatened to

    bring international sanctions down on Croatia. The tribunal

    wants that country to extradite Mladen "Tuta" Naletilic for

    war crimes in Bosnia and to provide documents relating to the

    flight of perhaps as many as 200,000 Serbs from Croatia in

    1995. Official Zagreb--unlike Belgrade--has staked its future

    on integration into Euro-Atlantic structures and cannot risk

    major sanctions. But the wheels of justice sometimes turn

    slowly in Croatia, and it is unclear if and when the

    government will meet the tribunal's demands.

    Bosnia presents a somewhat different picture. Few non-

    Serbs or non-Croats have seriously accused Izetbegovic

    himself of war crimes. But he is widely regarded at home and

    abroad as turning a blind eye toward corruption, particularly

    when those involved are persons who distinguished themselves

    in the 1992-1995 Muslim war effort.

    In fact, the close links between the political,

    military, and criminal structures among the Serbs, Croats,

    and Muslims are well known. Many observers from the region

    and abroad have stressed repeatedly that the main reason that

    precious little of the 1995 Dayton peace agreement has been

    implemented is that the people responsible for the war

    continue to hold power.

    These individuals have no reason to end a system in

    which each local warlord reigns over his few square

    kilometers of territory like a medieval potentate. How one

    might break the power of these individual warlords and the

    system they have built up is at least as daunting a question

    as is how to oust Milosevic and the other big fish.

    07-09-99


    Reprinted with permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
    URL: http://www.rferl.org


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